The Birthplace - one of the most expensive real estate assets in the world

The Prophet's saw Birthplace is estimated to be amongst the priciest land in the world.
Generally, discussions about assigning monetary value to religious heritage sites, or speculation about their commercial potential, tend to be criticised as being irreverent and displaying ignorance of the fact that these sites play roles for communities which are more essential than money, and hence, which cannot be replaced by any amount of compensation. Furthermore, such debates are [also] seen as carrying the hazard that they may incentivise one or more developer to attempt to purchase these sites with a view to destroying them and replacing with higher-profit generating alternatives.
Why speculate over the financial value of the Birthplace?
Knowing the widespread sentiments of believers towards their heritage, and particularly, believers towards the Birthplace, why, then, risk a public deliberation about the financial worth of the Birthplace - especially in a climate where authorities are already being lobbied by both extremists and developers to allow its destruction?
The rationale behind such an undertaking is that, in the case of the Birthplace, the exercise actually benefits the cause of saving the site by unearthing evidence that the site has been considered 'Prime Property' since the advent of Islam; this fact, then, directly refutes the key claims made by the extremists regarding the Birthplace.
The Extremists' Contention
That the site must not be accorded any significance now, and should instead be permitted to be destroyed, on the grounds that, for the past 1500 years the site has not been used or developed in any meaningful way, because:
(i) The leaders of Islamic nations, Meccan Authorities, and Clerics have attached no value to the Birthplace, and, hence, made no efforts to preserve it.
(ii) The Birthplace has been of so little interest to Meccan citizens and visitors, that none has been willing to make use of it.
The Realty
The evidence that exists about the history of the property market around the Grand Mosque and Birthplace, and the popularity of the Birthplace, supports the Sunni Muslim majority assertion, that for the vast majority of the period since the Prophet's saw demise, conditions in Mecca have been such that the birth site would have been eagerly sought-after for rent or purchase, for both residential and business uses, had it been permitted to be offered to the public.
However, first Mecca's notables, and then the state, prevented the site from being exploited for commercial gain, and instead it has been continually safeguarded, repaired, renovated and embellished throughout its history, and in a manner acutely sympathetic to its primary function as a holy site.
The Birthplace was acknowledged as an emminently sacred site due to its associations with the Prophet Muhammed saw, the Prophet Muhammed's saw family, the Prophet Abraham as, and as a historic space carrying 1500 years of interaction with countless millions of pilgrims, including visitation by the Muslim world's most celebrated personalities.
Furthermore, as real estate situated in one of the most sought after locations in the world, for both residential and business uses, the Birthplace offered another reason to be valued so highly.
The tremendous monetary value of the Birthplace site stems from its sacredness and physical proximity to the Grand Mosque in Mecca
Due to its position as the focal point of Mecca, competition is keen for the area surrounding the Grand Mosque. The commercial and residential sectors have been evolving around the Mosque since the early days of the Islamic faith. By the end of the Prophet's saw tenure in 631/632 CHECK, approximately 100,000 people visited Mecca to perform the Haj pilgrimage with him saw.
Today, the millions of pilgrims that flock to the city each year generate huge demand for housing, hospitality, and retail services - particularly in the immediate vicinity of the Grand Mosque. The area is also a prime residential location for those who can afford the excessive prices and wish to live close to the Mosque in order to be able to walk to, and pray there, on a daily basis.
The competition between commercial and residential operators to gain a foothold as close to the Mosque as possible, has been further exacerbated in recent years by the growth of the resident population of Mecca, the predicted increase in numbers of pilgrims from (approximately 26.5 million in 202??) to…increase in total pilgrim numbers to around 32?? million
by 2030, and the limited supply of flat land there adaptable for development. This clamour has exerted great upwards pressure on real estate prices, resulting in some of the highest land values in the world.
Evaluating the Price of the Birthplace Site

The market value of a historic asset such as the Birthplace would be calculated by evaluating four factors:
1) Location Value. The value of the plot based on the price, per-square-meter, of/for land in that specific location.
2) Heritage Value. The premium that can be charged in addition to the Location Value to reflect the site’s historic, cultural, and religious significance.
3. The Highest and Best Use that is possible at the site.
4. Potential Buyers, and the likely maximum price they would be prepared to pay, to own or use the site.
1. Location Value

In order to understand the price structure of land in the vicinity of the Grand Mosque requires, ideally, an investigation into the reasons underpinning this structure, as well as current land costs:
(i) The Cost of Land
(ii) Why is the land close to the Grand Mosque so expensive?
(iii) State purchases of land around the Grand Mosque
(i) Cost of Land
Land Prices around the Grand Mosque
In recent years, rates for land available close to the Mosque have reached astronomical levels:
-- In 2007 the cost of a square meter of land ranged from $27,000 to $80,000 fn1;
-- In 2010 the top rate [/ for prime land] crossed the $100,000 figure. fn2;
-- Since 2013, plots have been costing between US$ 133,000 and US$ 400,000 per square meter, and the buying spree meant that by 2016, the greater proportion of the city was owned by commercial real estate developers fn4.
-- By 2018, the shortage of land for sale around the gm became so acute, that developers faced challenges finding sufficient land for new retail projects fn5.
Fn1: Middle East Economic Digest (MEED), quoted in …
Fn2: https://www.arabianbusiness.com/makkah-land-prices-hit-133-000-per-sq-metre-report-40490.html
Thu 18 Feb 2010
Fn3: http://www.arabnews.com/saudi-arabia/square-meter-land-makkah-now-costs-sr-15-million
February 09, 2013
Fn4: https://www.theguardian.com/cities/2016/sep/14/mecca-hajj-pilgrims-tourism
Guardian 14 sept 2016
Fn5: https://www.venturesonsite.com/news/makkah-faces-shortage-of-large-and-suitable-land-plots-for-malldevelopments
20th September 2018 ----- this site quoting a Tradearabia news report
Prices in Mecca are constantly being projected upward, with only short periods of price dips. The city’s prime residential property prices are already substantially higher than the next five most expensive cities to buy prime property in globally:
Costs of Prime Residential Property in Cities around the World
- The top 5 most expensive residential markets after Mecca ranked 2022
CITY COST PER SQUARE METER
Monaco US$59,000
Hong Kong US$48,000
New York US$30,000
Singapore US$29,000
London US$29,000
For further information see:
https://www.knightfrank.com/research/article/2023-03-01-where-are-the-most-expensive-cities-in-the-world
(ii) Why is the land close to the Grand Mosque so expensive?

The highest priced land in Saudi Arabia is found in the areas neighbouring Mecca’s Grand Mosque. This is due to growing demand combined with limited numbers of housing and commercial units available for sale or rent. has caused a surge in real estate values in recent years. The situation is similar with temporary accommodation: rising demand for rental units, and the lack of adequate supply, have led to substantial rent increases.
1) High Demand
Mecca has continually witnessed an extraordinary clamour [demand] from both, its citizens and visitors, to dwell close to the Grand Mosque. The key motive is to obtain 'Sawab' (reward): the earning of spiritual reward, from God, through the performance of good deeds and piety.
reasons for wanting to reside near the gm is to obtain the additional rewards of praying in the gm, and to minimise travelling time to and from the mosque for each prayer…/…ease the frequent travel to
the gm:summarised these as follows:
-- Praying in the Grand Mosque carries 100,000 more sawab than a prayer performed in any other mosque in the world. Residents of the city who wanted to perform their five daily prayers in the Grand Mosque, preferred to live close to it in order to to make their frequent visits more convenient.
--The merit for each prayer in the Mosque is increased by travelling to the Mosque on-foot. Therefore, the distance between a worshipper's residence, and the Grand Mosque, had to be sufficiently close to make walking, to and from the Mosque, feasible.
--Living near the Grand Mosque conferred prestige. People who resided in the vicinity of the Mosque were considered more pious and blessed.
--Meccans who lived in the outskirts of the city and who visited the Grand Mosque on a daily basis, were forced to trek along narrow roads in poor conditions. Many decided to relocate their homes closer to the Mosque in order to avoid the time-consuming and difficult daily journey.
--The desires of large numbers of pilgrims to have their accommodation as close as possible to the Grand Mosque prompted many landlords to obtain plots and properties near the Mosque as these would not only command higher rental rates, but also deliver high occupancy levels, and fewer void periods.
2) Shortage of house building land
The primary reason for the limited supply of land in Mecca was topographical constraints. The city is situated in a valley surrounded by steep mountains. This has meant that for most of its history, physical expansion of Mecca has been hindered and development has been confined mainly to the relatively flat areas of the city centre. The combination of the permanent housing needed for Meccan residents, and the short-term accommodation required for ever-increasing numbers of pilgrims, has resulted in a situation where Mecca has faced housing congestion and shortages since the second century of Islam.
meant that Mecca had faced housing congestion and shortages since the second century of Islam
both the indigenous and temporary populations. both resident and pilgrim populations
At the time of the Prophet's (saw) migration, Mecca consisted of a small nucleus of houses belonging to the elite of Mecca's tribes and encircling the Ka'aba. Most of these houses were single-storey buildings, enclosed by temporary structures of tents, dry stone shacks, and covered shelters where servants and other labourers lived and worked to serve their employers, as well as the pilgrims. Located at a distance from the houses were some scattered tents of nomads and herds of camels, sheep and goats belonging to the merchant families of Mecca. fn:1
Closeness to the Holy Mosque has always been a primary factor in the growth and development of Makkah. From the first centur of Islam, the desire to live near Al-Haram led to the settlement becaming more compact around the Kabah. The inhabitants built their houses close together in tight clusters to make maximum use of the limited flat land
Closeness to the Holy Mosque has always been a primary factor in the growth and development of Makkah. From the first centur of Islam, the desire to live near Al-Haram led to the settlement becaming more compact around the Kabah. The inhabitants built their houses close together in tight clusters to make maximum use of the limited flat land
This area developed over the past centuries to serve the specific purpose of providing both
residential and allied service areas for people wanting to live near the Haram.
Small shops filled in where possible and smaller mosques were built, scattered throughout the city.
Ibn Battutah, who visited Makkah in 725, described it as a “big city" in terms of its built up area and absolute size of its population. fn2
The intensive land use around the Grand Mosque was not without its issues: the area became experienced congestion and high population density. The economic viability of lots that were close to the Haram produced amorphous shaped plots, a symptom of maximum exploitation. Roads, public squares and other open spaces suffered in the search for building sites. The minimum allotment for the street network led to short, narrow roads and alleys. This caused difficulties for the movement of both local and pilgrim traffic.
In 1803 a European named Ali Bey visited Makkah and gave the following description:
"There is no open place or space in Mecca (Makkah) because the irregularity of the ground and the want of space would not-permit it". fn:3
In 1877 Keane visited Makkah and gave the following description :
"The whole of this valley, about one mile and a half long by one third of a mile across, is packed and crammed with buildings of all shapes and sizes, placed in no kind of order, climbing far up the steep side of the surrounding hills ..... “ fn: 4
CHECK CORRECT PAGE NUMBERS FOR ALL QUOTES
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fn1: Angawi, Sami, Makkan Architecture, Ph.D. Thesis, University of London, 1988, p. 151.
fn2: Ibn Battutah., (1958) The Travels of Ibn Battuta, Translated with revision and notes by Gibb., H. A. R..,
Cambridge P-397.
fn3: TRAVELS OF ALI BEY IN AFRICA AND ASIA. Travelled to mecca 1806-1807
Travels Of Ali Bey - Vol.2 Publication date 1816.………p96
fn4: Keane, J. F. (1881) My Journey to Medinah : Describing A Pilgrimage to Medinah, Tinsley Brothers,
London, p. 27.
CHECK CORRECT PAGE NUMBERS FOR ALL 3 ABOVE QUOTES
(iii) State purchases of land around the Grand Mosque

We know from accounts of state purchases of land - from both /either end of the Islamic history of mecca - that the land close to the gm has always commanded substantially higher high values than other parts of Mecca.
1) [Third] Abbasid caliph, Mohammed Al-Mahdi (775–785)?????
Al-Mahdi began out an extensive expansion of the Grand Mosque in Mecca in 161 A.H./A.D. 777 [[[ OR 783]]]; he died in 785, part way through the enlargement, and work/project was completed, by his son and successor as caliph, Musa.......... in..............
The size of the mosque was increased by 12,512 square meters.by adding approximately 15,000 square metres to the mosque. ..... by purchasing demolishing a substantial number of properties.
Owners of land and property within the area of the Mosque were compensated at the rate of approximately one hundred gold pieces (dinars) per square meter (25 dinars/ square cubit); whilst those with land and property at a distance from the Mosque, in the wadi (valley) area, were paid sixty gold pieces for per square metre (15 dinars/ square cubit) fn17.
These payouts were considered enormous [huge sums] at the time, and were deemed necessary to reflect, not only the market value of the land, but also the additional compensation due for the loss of the prized nearness to the Mosque. For some owners, the market price alone would alone would not have been sufficient to convince them to sell, in a climate when other land in the area was almost impossible to acquire, and the only realistic option of relocating would have been at the periphery of the settlement.
Similarly, the expansion of the Grand Mosque that commenced in 2010, also necessitated the state paying record sums to landowners to make way for the project.
FN17. Al-Azraqi, Akhbar Makkah, 1398/1978, vol. II, p. 74.
A general court was appointed to adjudicate on the compensation rate for each individual piece of the real estate - which generally consisted of land, buildings, or remains. Value estimations was conducted according to a set mechanism that took into account factors such as location, proximity to the Grand Mosque, and whether the land was mountainous or flat. In each case, the judge issued a ruling with a payout-percentage that ranged from between 25 to 75 percent.
In total, the Saudi government disbursed USD 35.5 billion to the owners of the expropriated properties. Fn1 The payouts/valuations ranged from between USD 120,000 (SR 450,000) and USD 160,000 (SR 600,000) per square metre. Fn2.
The highest rate of compensation was paid for properties such as an apartment building in the Ajyad province opposite Al-Safwah Tower, at USD 160,000 per square meter, followed by a neighbouring building with a value of USD 146,685 (SR 550,000) per square meter. The Al-Zawawi building in Al-Bab, and other structures located near to the Al-Masfalah province, reached USD 120,000 (SR 450,000) per square meter.Fn3.
Fn1: King Salman launches five projects at Grand Mosque in Mecca
https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/property/king-salman-launches-five-projects-at-grand-mosque-in-mecca-1.612283 Jul 21, 2017
Fn2. The Average exchange rate for the Saudi Riyal (SAR) to US Dollar (USD) in 2010 was 0.2667 USD. See www.exchangerates.org.uk.
Fn3: Compensation for demolished buildings around Haram
https://www.arabnews.com/node/462407/amp 25 August 2013
One of the features of Mecca’s property market that continues to be exhibited today is the high degree of differentiation in values. To some extent it may be said that the Grand Mosque performs the primary function of the city, and the rest of the city supports it through the provision secondary visitor and pilgrim services. The preeminence of the Mosque in Mecca results in land values, as well as housing costs, declining with increasing distance from the Mosque. No other site has existed in Mecca, in the past 1500 years, that has altered this equation and provided a reason for land prices to ascend away from the Mosque. Al-mahd’s purchases demonstrate that the same phenomenon was evident in 171ah: the 40% differential in the cost of the land on the periphery of the mosque and in the Wadi area, highlights the sharp variations in the mean value of properties between streets and areas.
2. Heritage Premium
(i) The Valuation of Heritage
(ii) Layers of Value
(iii) Monetising Value
(i) The Valuation of Heritage

The valuation of buildings is based on the the concept of ‘market value’, which is the value that a building may be expected to achieve after reasonable exposure in a free, stable market.
Non-heritage properties are commonly valued by the Comparison method of valuation - this involves assessing the prices achieved for similar buildings already sold (the study properties) in the market, and applying these to the building being valued [to be appraised] (the subject property), whilst making allowances for the differences between the two sites. Valuations tend to be relatively straightforward as there is usually sufficient trading activity to provide comparable evidence and a price range within which to position the subject property.
The Comparison method is effective where: (i) there is evidence of the prices achieved for one or more other properties of the same general type; (ii) there are a number of comparables in the study properties which are similar or identical to the property being valued, and (iii) the transactions are recent and representative of the market at the time of the valuation,
However, heritage buildings, present a unique challenge to valuers in that:
(i) Lack of comparable evidence
Few heritage properties are sold in the open market. This often results in there being little or no transactional data to compare one historic site with another, thereby rendering the use of the Comparison method, or other conventional techniques, inappropriate or impossible in many instances.
(ii) Heterogeneity
Even where there is data on the valuations of similar heritage sites, a high degree of similarity is required between the study site and the site to be valued, in order to provide an accurate economic value of the study site. However, site characteristics are usually considerably different between heritage sites. Any given heritage property is likely to display distinctive features that are unmatched elsewhere, be they in terms of physical characteristics (e.g. an exemplar of a certain architectural style) or in terms of historical association (e.g. the site of an important historical event.
Heritage assets tend to be heterogeneous – they are complex combinations of characteristics and the economic values associated with the heritage assets are likely to be highly site-specific. This make comparisons difficult and subject to considerable error.
(iii) Heritage Premium
Unlike a modern building, the total value of a heritage asset is made up not only of its economic value, but also includes other attributes which have a bearing on its overall value: such as possessing social value and cultural value. Indeed, heritage assets can be said to have a second economic value, in addition to their physical and use value, which is the monetary value of the wellbeing and fufillment that individuals obtain from those assets. The amount by which these attributes/ additional values combined increase the selling price of the site is often referred to as the Heritage Premium.
(ii) Layers of Value

In order to measure the value of a heritage asset, a ‘non-standard’ treatment needs to be applied, one which takes into account other notions of value besides economic value. In valuers' parlance, heritage assets generate both economic value and cultural value, and, therefore, whereas for a non-heritage building, an assessment of economic costs and benefits would be regarded as sufficient for an appraisal, for a heritage site, an evaluation of net benefit streams in both economic and cultural terms will be required.
This is an advance on the traditional approach to safeguarding historic properties, which has operated on the basis of preserving the building rather than conserving the meanings and values associated with the building. In other words, the goal is to benefit the property and not the people who value the property. This method deprecates the importance of people, processes, and meanings in how places are valued and conserved. Thus, conservation professionals produce “objective” meanings for other conservators, but not for everyday people. The net result is a failure to understand how local populations actually value their historic places. Key heritage preservation decisions are often made without taking into account the personal, emotional, intangible, subjective, and perhaps spiritual value of heritage to individuals. This is despite calls from United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) to recognise the human value of heritage. UNESCO (2009) advocates,
“Heritage is our legacy from the past, what we live with today, and what we pass on to future generations. Our cultural and natural heritage are both irreplaceable sources of life and inspiration”.
Hence, In order to arrive at the most accurate valuation of a heritage asset, the valuer needs to consider the empirical economic data on the asset in tandem with the full spectrum of cultural and religious values associated with the asset. These "Values" may be described as the Intrinsic value and the Instrumental value of the asset.
Intrinsic value is the individual intellectual, emotional and spiritual experience of the heritage. It is also the value inherent in heritage, the benefit derived from heritage products for their existence value and for their own sake; historical, aesthetic, social or scientific and the value of an asset through fundamental analysis without reference to its market value. Another facet of the intrinsic value of heritage buildings is that they are evidence of human achievement in arts, design and construction.
The Venice Charter (1964) establishes the inherent values of heritage, and the relationship between these values and the fabric of the structure: "A monument is inseparable from the history to which it bears witness and from the setting in which it occurs". (Article 7). The Charter further emphasises that these values should be revealed so that the site's meaning can be ‘read’: "Every means must be taken to facilitate the understanding of the monument and to reveal it without ever distorting its meaning". (Article 15, ICOMOS, [1964] 1996.
FN1: The Venice Charter is the common term given to The International Charter for the Conservation and Restoration of Monuments and Sites (ICOMOS) [1964].
Instrumental value is the ancillary economic effects or other benefits which may derive from the heritage asset. These include visitors and volunteers, as well as wider social, financial, environmental, and educational benefits at a community or greater level.

The Birthplace possesses a multiplicity of "values" which influence its market valuation because they are held as highly significant for pilgrims and other visitors, for residents and businesses, for the Saudi government, for the Saudi nation, and for the Islamic world as a whole. These include:
Symbolic Value
National leaders throughout history have understood the meaning of buildings. Buildings were much more than a place to live, work, worship, or to shop. Nearly as important as these basic functions, buildings were also symbols.
Religious authorities understood that a glorious house of worship provides worshipers with feelings of awe, reverence and closeness with the deity. The Meccan scene with the Grand mosque, housing the Kaaba - the birthplace of human communal worship - and the Bp ......................is, for Muslims, symbolic of the relationship between God and the Prophet saw. The Grandeur of the Mosque, the largest place of worship on Earth, encourages visitors to view God as He should be viewed, as the Almighty, the Greatest Being. In contrast, the adjacent Bp, with its inconsequential size and non-descript appearance, encourages visitors to view the Prophet saw as He saw should be viewed, as the exemplar human being who lived a life of moderation in which the recognition of the greatness of God, and complete obedience to God, were central, while personal whims and desires were secondary. This ‘master and servant’ relationship is discernibly expressed through these two adjoining sites.
Spiritual Value
Religious heritage buildings can hold deep ‘spiritual’ qualities for individuals. Such sites become an experiential metaphysical [t‘spiritual’] space filled with emotion, mindfulness, engagement and personal meaning. Individuals use heritage buildings to revisit in their minds certain periods of their own national history, and to connect more deeply with their culture or nationhood, past life experiences, and friends and families. For pilgrims, and other visitors of a spiritual "bent," the experience of a historic religious building is more personally significant and transforming than a tourist's "gaze‟ of that building.
Irreplaceability Value
As with other heritage assets, the Bp is irreplaceable in the sense that, once lost, the original cannot be recreated. A replica can be made, but no amount of accuracy in this imitation will compensate for the fact the replica is simply a modern structure devoid of every one of the criteria necessary for a site to be categorised as heritage: no substantial age, no grounds to confer cultural or religious significance on it, and no public reverence of it on the basis of the site it replaces. In the case of the Bp, a replica could not provide the public that which the BP is able to: 1500 years of interaction with the Muslim world, the sacred residency of a Divine emissary, visitation by millions of humans during the sacred pilgrimage, and the reverence, as the fourth holiest site in Islam, of hundreds of millions people around the world.
In order to bring history back to life, a few countries have created ‘copies’ and replicas of general historic sites, such as replica Norman forts and Saxon villages, as an educational or visual experience, but none has deliberately destroyed a historic site in order to make way for its replica, nor attempted to ascribe to the replica, the experience or significance of the original site.
Irreplaceability makes the economic valuation of heritage assets a tremendous challenge. The degree of irreplaceability is more acute for heritage assets which are also classed as National Treasures, such as the Bp. National Treasures are widely believed to be incapable of economic valuation.
Rarity Value
How unique the heritage asset is as an example of its type, can have a substantial impact on its market value. Many heritage sites are one-offs, or the only one remaining of their kind, and this exclusivity generates interest as rarity adds value.
Broadness of Support Value
The scale on which the asset matters will give some indication of whether, and how far in excess of its market value [price], the site is likely to be valued by its supporters. The geographical range on which the site matters to the public, policy makers, and other stakeholders may be on a regional, national or international level. It may also include international or national commitments such as a UNESCO listing/recognition or conservation protection under national planning policies.
Locational Connectivity Value
Certain heritage assets derive part of their overall value from their surroundings. Whereas some high profile heritage sites dominate their locations and positively impact the values of surrounding properties, others experience an enhancement in their value due to particular features in their setting, for example, they are situated in a major or capital city, ANOTHER REASON, they are in the vicinity of a heritage site of still greater significance. The latter case applies to the Bp: it is in the vicinity of the Grand Mosque, the holiest site in Islam, and thereby, its inherent colossal value is further embellished through its proximity to the Mosque, and its connections to the Mosque in terms of age and shared history.
Provenance Value
The provenance of an heritage asset will often significantly enhance value due to association with a particular former owner(s). The Bp was built, owned, and lived in by the Prophet’s saw family and relatives who were all direct descendants of Prophet Abraham: the house was built by the Prophet’s saw grandfather…. The ownership was subsequently transferred on to the Prophet’s saw father……, and was lived in by the Prophet saw and His saw parents. The ownership was later passed onto the Prophet saw, Himself saw.
Priceless Value
The unique nature of some heritage assets means that they are considered 'priceless'. It is not that they cannot be priced, but rather a consensus exists that any price arrived at will not be a true reflection of the site’s unique contribution to overall cultural wealth – because such a market value will fail to recognise worth as opposed to value. Where the asset is deemed to have high 'worth' , but cannot yield a market value using conventional methodology, then it is normally decided that it is not practical to value the asset on the balance sheet...This situation is most likely to arise in relation to assets which could be considered to be National Treasures.
Prestige Value
The international landmark status of the Bp confers prestige and attraction on the surrounding area. Residents and business owners derive an amenity benefit from the site and this is reflected in the value of their properties. The element of the price of these properties that is due to the heritage site, represents a type of indirect heritage premium for non-heritage properties located in the vicinity of a heritage site.
Economic Value
Sites such as the Bp, are major attractions which deliver economic value to the area surrounding them, through the expenditures by visitors on sectors such as hospitality (accommodation landlords and hotels), food outlets, multiple types of retailers, and transport. These sites also benefit the vicinity by attracting investment from local or national government in order to maintain or enhance the revenue generated by the presence of the site, for example, by improvements to local roads and pedestrian walkways.
In addition to the preceding values, which are widely acknowledged features of heritage assets, there are other, perhaps more subtle, characteristics of such sites, in terms of the feelings and attitudes they foster amongst both professionals and the public. These factors also contribute significantly to elevating the value of a site.

Pride Value
For Muslims around the world to know that, in contrast to the situation regarding the birth sites of most historic figures, they enjoy the rare privilege of possessing the birth site of their founder.
Altruistic Value
This value is derived from the knowledge that others may enjoy the historic environment.
Bequest Value
This value is derived from the desire to conserve heritage assets for future generations.
Existence value
This refers to the benefits that arise from the knowledge that our heritage is being conserved per se.
Non-Use Value
Apart from residents and visitors, the general public of the region or nation, or even the international community, may have a desire to protect a site, and be willing to contribute towards the conservation of a heritage asset, regardless of the fact that they may not visit it or be near it . This form of value is known as Non-Use Value (NUV) or passive use value. One of the mains reasons why it arises is that many people feel the influence of the past and they see themselves as stewards of the nation’s heritage.
(iii) Monetising Value

Valuers face a challenge in judging how values, such as cultural or religious values, manifest in the price assessment of a site. As an intangible factor, the effects of a particular "value" are difficult to quantify. Since there are no industry standards, weighting the impact of values in monetary terms is heavily reliant on subjective interpretation.
Another aspect of valuations is that real market value is not the same as the value to the owner or the purchaser - who may be affected by feelings such as, sentimentality, the desire to own in order to receive public acclaim, or a belief that purchasing the site to ensure its preservation is a religious duty. This can mean that a heritage site can
possess a value which far outstrips any figure which is
rational in financial analysis terms, irregardless of the
method of valuation adopted. For example, a property, which has a decaying fabric may attract buyers drawn to its aesthetic and historic interest features and who are in a financial position such that their decision-making is not dictated by consideration of costs. For them, the market value of the asset is not an appropriate measure of its perceived cultural or educational worth, which cannot be measured in financial terms. In such cases, the value of a particular site boils down to its worth to the prospective owner. Similarly, with premier heritage sites such as the Bp, the value of the site is what it is worth to the Saudi nation and to the world's 2 billion other Muslims.
3. Highest and Best Use

In order to make a well-founded investment decision, a prospective buyer of real estate must ascertain, prior to purchase, the full implications of the projects being considered at the site: profitability, the legal position, budget, time line, etc.
In order to make a well-founded investment decision, a prospective buyer of real estate must ascertain, prior to purchase, the full implications of the projects being considered at the site: profitability, the legal position, budget, time line, etc.
Amongst the methods used to undertake such fact-finding is the "highest and best use" (HBU) analysis. This study requires a valuer to consider not only the current use of the property, but also the potential value associated with alternative uses. The valuer will then narrow down [reduce] the alternatives to one highest and best use of the property.
This HBU analysis involves assessing whether the proposed uses are:
-Legally Permissible. What potential uses of the site are, for example, offices, retail, or residential, are legally permitted? This entails a consideration of zoning laws, building codes, and government regulations.
-Physically Possible. The features of the site, such as it's size, shape, topography, soil conditions, and natural environment will affect, to some degree, what uses are suitable at the site.
In the case, of heritage buildings, the potential for structural changes, such as a new facade, re-partitioning, or expansion, may be constrained, since historic buildings generally have significant restrictions attached to them in regards to major transformations.
-Financially Feasible. This examines whether a potential use of the property can generate a sufficient return to the investor to justify the costs of purchase, development, and maintenance. The factors considered include:
--Development costs. The total outlay on the project is estimated, including build costs, fees, and finance costs.
--Profitability. If the purchaser wishes to use the site to run a business, then calculations are carried out of likely gross takings, and deductions for finance costs, capital expenditure, operating costs, and overhead expenses.
--Potential Tenants. Where a buyer intends rent the property to a commercial tenant, he will, in addition to evaluating his own expenditures on the site, need to consider the type of business that could be operated from the premises and the likely outgoings and remuneration for the tenant, in order to judge whether the site is feasible for renting to a commercial tenant.
Similarly, where the site is to be converted into residential property for rental, projections will be made of the type of tenants likely to be interested in renting the property, as well as demand, occupancy levels, and rental income.
--Maximally productive. After eliminating proposed uses that are not physically possible, legally permissible, or financially feasible, the valuer presents the proposed uses that meet these requirements and ranks them in order of highest value or return on investment.
While ranking the potential uses,the risks involved are also considered. A high reward possible use, for example, may also have a more significant risk factor than any of the other proposed uses.
From an investment perspective, the highest and best use of a property will be the use which optimizes the value and profitability of the asset and is within the investor's risk tolerance.
(ii) Potential Uses of the Birthplace Site
The bp sites has always embodied qualities that would attract a wide range of buyers: a prized location, a history that was directly relevant to local citizens and international pilgrims, a sacredness that was genuinely valued, and the immense prestige that would be conferred on whoever owned it. These elements have existed for 15 centuries of the site's existence, and consequently, had the site been made available to the general public during this period, it would have undoubtedly been of sought after for a diverse range of purposes including residential, commercial, and even light industry uses.
Similarly, today also, the site will appeal to a variety of buyers, particularly, for purposes linked to religious tourism or owner-occupier uses:



--Business operators
For a commercial enterprise, the bp represents a hugely lucrative opportunity. The current expansion of the gm will allow sa to increase Haj and Umrah visa quotas from the current ???? To ???? Pe year. With such immense volumes of pilgrims visiting the mosque next door, a substantial number would be expected - as at present - to want to visit the location of the bp. Any business operating from the site, which provided pilgrim-related products or services, could expect to convert a sizeable number of these visitors into customers. Currently, businesses such as financial services, retailers, fast-food chains, and hotels are vying for the best locations around the gm. The hospitality sector, in particular, experiences high occupancy rates from the millions of customers competing each year for the limited number of haj or umrah places available. This is allowing meccan hotels to charge some of the highest room or suite rates internationally.
--Devout muslims
For devout Muslims and Muslim organisations, the prospect of owning and residing at the site that once housed the founder of their religion, and witnessed events immensely sacred to Islamic history, would be exceptionally appealing. Worshipping in the gm each day while residing in the bp site, would be considered to be one of the ways of life/ideal lifestyle/finest lifestyles possible for a dedicated follower of the Prophet saw. Muslims of a spiritual bent would be aware that one of the surest ways to earn the priceless next-worldly rewards would be to own and preserve the bp of one God‘s Prophet‘s ams.


--Home seekers
For wealthy meccan citizens searching for a primary residence in the city, or those from outside the area seeking a second home or base close to the gm, the bp would be the ideal site. It’s location would not only give any house constructed here a high level of prominence, but also grant its owners a unique status, as well as convenient access to mecca’s most exclusive retail
district.
--Landlords ..real estate developers
Proximity to the gm has become the ultimate currency, allowing landlords with properties within walking distance to charge sky-high rents. Demand for apartment-type accommodation around the gm has always been extremely strong and delivered higher rates of return on investment than other areas of mecca. It can be expected, therefore, that demand from pilgrims for
accommodation situated on the site where the Prophet saw himself lived, will be nothing short of vphenomenal. It would also, in all probability, command Mecca’s highest apartment rental rates.

Central Government
Sites such as the Bp, can appeal to Central government, local authorities, and their business space providers. They can be utilised for uses such as health services or administration - the Bp was previously used by the Saudi government to house its Haj Ministry.
However, while supporters of heritage will agree that a site may be considered to be at its highest and best use when it provides the optimum return to its owner or user, but they will, at the same time, contend that HBU can manifest not only in monetary terms, but also in intangible and social values, or a combination of such values.
For Muslims, the highest and best use of the Bp site is as it is now.
The bp sites has always encapsulated qualities that would appeal to a wide range of buyers: a sought after location, flexibility of use - for either residential or business purposes, substantial-income/profit potential, a history that was directly relevant to local citizens and international pilgrims, a sacredness that was genuinely
valued, and the immense prestige that would be conferred on whoever owned it. These elements have existed for 15 centuries. The type of buyer that would have been interested Today, the bp plot will appeal to 3 categories of buyers:
--Business operators
For a commercial enterprise, the bp represents a hugely lucrative opportunity. The current expansion of the gm will allow sa to increase Haj and Umrah visa quotas from the current ???? To ???? Pe year. With such immense volumes of pilgrims visiting the mosque next door, a substantial number would be expected - as at present - to want to visit the location of the bp. Any business operating from the site, which provided pilgrim-related products or services, could expect to convert a sizeable number of these visitors into customers. Currently, businesses such as financial services, retailers, fast-food chains, and hotels are vying for the best locations around the gm. The hospitality sector, in particular, experiences high occupancy rates from the millions of customers competing each year for the limited number of haj or umrah places available. This is allowing meccan hotels to charge some of the highest room or suite rates internationally: hotel suites with the best views are costing $7,000 per night during peak seasons. https://www.theguardian.com/artanddesign/2012/oct/23/mecca-architecture-hajj1too old quote.
--Landlords ..real estate developers
Proximity to the gm has become the ultimate currency, allowing landlords with properties within walking distance to charge sky-high rents. Demand for apartment-type accommodation around the gm has always been extremely strong and delivered higher rates of return on investment than other areas of mecca. It can be expected, therefore, that demand from pilgrims for
accommodation situated on the site where the Prophet saw himself lived, will be nothing short of
vphenomenal. It would also, in all probability, command Mecca’s highest apartment rental rates.
--Home seekers
For wealthy meccan citizens searching for a primary residence in the city, or those from outside the area seeking a second home or base close to the gm, the bp would be the ideal site. It’s location would not only give any house constructed here a high level of prominence, but also grant its owners a unique status, as well as convenient access to mecca’s most exclusive retail
district.
--Devout muslims
For devout Muslims and Muslim organisations, the prospect of owning and residing at the site that once housed the founder of their religion, and witnessed events immensely sacred to Islamic history, would be exceptionally appealing. Worshipping in the gm each day while residing in the bp site, would be considered to be one of the ways of life/ideal lifestyle/finest lifestyles possible for a dedicated follower of the Prophet saw. Muslims of a spiritual bent would be aware that one of the surest ways to earn the priceless next-worldly rewards would be to own and preserve the bp of one God‘s Prophet‘s ams.
Central Government
Sites such as the Bp, can appeal to Central government, local authorities, and their business space providers. They can be utilised for uses such as health services or administration - the Bp was previously used by the Saudi government to house its Haj Ministry.
However, while supporters of heritage will agree that a site may be considered to be at its highest and best use when it provides the optimum return to its owner or user, but they will, at the same time, contend that HBU can manifest not only in monetary terms, but also in intangible and social values, or a combination of such values.
For Muslims, the highest and best use of the Bp site is as it is now.

History refutes the extremist's claim

This article serves to demonstrate that the extremist claim:
that throughout its history, the Bp was not made use of by citizens or visitors to Mecca, for either domestic or commercial purposes, because despite being the Prophet's saw Bp, it held no value for Muslims, and therefore, it should not hold value now for Muslims, and therefore, no grounds exist to prohibit its destruction,
is patently false.
The reason why the Bp was never acquired or developed by the general public or commercial sector, was because unlike the rest of Mecca, at no time was it ever offered to them.
The records of Mecca's ancient heritage have shown that heritage buildings in Mecca, that were not protected by state safeguarding measures, were forgotten, destroyed, and built-upon within decades or centuries of coming into prominence. In the case of the Birthplace, however, the state categorised and promoted it as a premier holy site, early in its history, so that its presence and sacred character would remain intact perpetually.
The authorities held the possession of the Birthplace itself for almost one and a half millennia, for the very same reasons that it retained ownership of other holy sites, in order to ensure that all times:
(i) The site was appropriately preserved for the Muslim world. Keeping control of the site allowed the state to ensure that the site received both the funds and stewardship that it deserved, particularly, in relation to maintenance, restoration and embellishments.
(ii) It was accorded the appropriate respect towards its sacredness. Any alterations to the form and nature of the site, which would diminish it's stature, were prohibited.
(iii) It was freely available for visitation [for interaction] by pilgrims and residents of Mecca, as well by notables and royalty from around the Muslim world.
major international hotel chains, fast-food outlets , and retailers
The significance attached to the Birthplace is based primarily on the sacredness believed by the Muslim world to be inherent in the site, and the high profit-earning potential of the asset from visitation to it by local and international visitors, as perceived by the commercial sector. The reason for illustrating the real estate dynamics around the Grand Mosque, the diverse range of possible uses of, and buyers for, the BP site, as well as the probable record-breaking market price that it should command today, is not only to highlight the capabilities of the site today, but to demonstrate that these capabilities are a not a new phenomenon. These qualities have existed from the first century of Islam, and consequently the demand for the acquisition of the site, from various quarters, has also existed since that era.
The basic structure [dynamics] of land prices in Mecca has generally not changed in the past 1500 years: sites closest to the GM have always commanded the highest values in the city. The Bp has always been prized not only for being the birth site and early residence of the faith's founder, but also because it is a site situated near to the GM. The Bp's current relative value has been enhanced even further due to the expansion of the GM, which has brought the GM and Bp to become virtually, adjoining neighbours. And just as today there is a clamour from the business community and from residential property seekers for space as close as possible to the gm, so also from the advent of Islam, there was competition for the limited number of sites available around the Gm - from merchants, landlord's, and owner-occupiers.
Had the BP been permitted to be acquired by the general public or business interests, at any point in its history, it is certain that it would have been bought and exploited for financial gain, just as has been the experience of every site surrounding the Bp.
It was never offered to the public because the state, the Ulema (clergy), and Muslim public unanimously categorised the Birthplace as a immensely sacred/holy site, that was to be revered and preserved, intact, permanently.
Selling the bp
The price of land around the gm has reached a level that places the bp, along with other prime plots around the gm, as the priciest land in the world. However, with the addition of the heritage premium to the market price, means that the bp constitutes, by far and away, the most expensive land in the world today.
Despite the lofty rates, investment cartels , retail consortiums , and hotel chains are continuing to spend vast sums to gain a foothold around the gm. The lure is the near doubling of pilgrims visiting the city each year, and their spending power.
The bp sits in a neighbourhood that is not only undergoing rapid development, but setting investment records. The bp is now in the vicinity of the two most expensive buildings in the world: the Grand Mosque, which is the largest mosque in the world and also the priciest structure, costing $100 billion (£75 billion) to construct; and the Abraj Al Bait Towers hotel, which cost
$15 billion to build and is ranked as number two in the world‘s costliest buildings fn1. Coming soon is the Abraj Kudai hotel at a build price of $3.5 billion; this is expected to become the largest hotel in the world, and the seventh most expensive building in the world. To add to this tally of records, the silk and gold-embroidered cloth which is wrapped around the nearby Kaaba -
the Kiswa - is the valued as the most expensive cloth in the world, costing $8,800 per square metre. It contains 120 kilograms of gold thread and 100 kilograms of silver thread. The cost of the Kiswa is approximately $5.8 million fn2. Such distinguished neighbours can only enhance the perceived-value of the bp.
[[The new Kiswa is 658-square-meters long and is made of 670 kilograms of pure silk. For embroidery,
120 kilograms of gold thread and 100 kilograms of silver thread were used.
The cost of the Kiswa is approximately SR22 million ($5.8 million).]]
[fn1: Telegraph 27 Jul 2016]]
[fn2: http://www.arabnews.com/node/1359431/saudi-arabia August 20, 2018
It is abundantly clear that the muslim world today does not want the bp to be sold or developed in any way. However, real estate conditions in Mecca demonstrate, that if the bp were ever to be sold, it would fetch a record-breaking selling price. On the basis of its area alone, it would be worth at least ???????? Investors are aware that there is no other ancient site in the world that is
capable of delivering the calibre of investment returns that are forecast for the bp. When rare items such as historic paintings, jewellery, antiques, and classic cars can fetch eight-figure US dollar prices; and exclusive apartments and houses in the worlds leading cities reach nine-figures, then it is not inconceivable that a dedicated Muslim, a shrewd investor, or a Pilgrim-related business would be willing to spend eight, or even nine, figure US Dollar sums to acquire such a unique site.
Traditional approaches to establishing the value of heritage have centred upon economic
measuring criteria. However, this paper has illustrated that the value of heritage must be
based on more than solely economic considerations
###
REASON FOR ILLUSTRATIG THE DIVERSE RANGE OF PITENTIAL USES AND BUYERS FOR THE BP SITE TODAY, IS TO DEMOSTRATE THAT JUST AS TODAY THERE WOULD BE GREAT INTEREST FROM AROUND THE WORLD FOR PURCHASING THE SITE, SO FOR THE PAST 1500 YEARS THERE WOULD HAVE BEEN GREAT DEMAND FOR RHE SITE, DEMONSTRATE NOT LEAST, BY THE DEMAND FOR LAND ADJACENT TO, AND ALL AROUND, THE BP SITE.

Just as today sites surrounding the gm are highly sought after for a variety of purposes, there has existed high demand since the advent of Islam to obtain such sites. Had the BP been permitted to be acquired by the public, then it is certain that it would have bought and exploited for financial gain, as sites immediately around the Bp have been.
Fn1: Middle East Economic Digest (MEED), quoted in …
Fn2: https://www.arabianbusiness.com/makkah-land-prices-hit-133-000-per-sq-metre-report-40490.html
Thu 18 Feb 2010
Fn3: http://www.arabnews.com/saudi-arabia/square-meter-land-makkah-now-costs-sr-15-million
February 09, 2013
Fn4: https://www.theguardian.com/cities/2016/sep/14/mecca-hajj-pilgrims-tourism
Guardian 14 sept 2016
Fn5: https://www.venturesonsite.com/news/makkah-faces-shortage-of-large-and-suitable-land-plots-for-malldevelopments
20th September 2018 ----- this site quoting a Tradearabia news report
New Paragraph

The type of buyer that would have been interested Today, the bp plot will appeal to 3 categories of buyers:
**PROOF OF THE PROPHET SAW VALUE, PROOF OF ISLAM VALUE**
“The Grand Mosque is the place to which Muslims all over the world turn their faces when starting their prayers, so it was the focus of interest of sultans, kings, princes, leaders and even wealthy Muslim people,” said Dr. Aminah Jalal, a professor of history at Umm Al-Qura University.
“They provided all financial support for the restoration and renovation of the mosque. Religious sentiments motivated them to send donations throughout the Islamic ages, as well as providing the workers and building materials necessary to take care of this blessed mosque.
”In days gone by, leaders also ordered wells to be dug and roads paved to make the journey to the holy sites easier for pilgrims, she added, but in the Saudi era, their efforts have reached a new level
In order to make well-founded investment decisions, a prospective buyer of real estate must ascertain, prior to purchase, the full implications of the projects under consideration at the site: the legal position, budget, time line, etc.
Amongst the methods used to undertake such fact-finding is the "highest and best use" (HBU) analysis. This study requires a valuer to consider not only the current use of the property, but also the potential value associated with alternative uses. The valuer will then narrow down all of the alternatives to one highest and best use of the property.
This HBU analysis involves assessing whether the proposed uses are:
-- Legally Permissible. What potential uses of the site are, for example, offices, retail, or residential, are legally permitted? This entails a consideration of zoning laws, building codes, and government regulations.
-Physically Possible. The features of the site, such as it's size, shape, topography, soil conditions, and natural environment will affect, to some degree, what uses are suitable at the site.
In the case, of heritage buildings, the potential for structural changes, such as a new facade, re-partitioning, or expansion, may be constrained, since historic buildings generally have significant restrictions attached to them in regards to major transformations.
-Financially Feasible: This examines whether a potential use of the property can generate a sufficient return to the investor to justify the costs of purchase, development, and maintenance. The factors considered include:
--Development costs. The total outlay on the project is estimated, including build costs, fees, and finance costs.
--Profitability. If the purchaser wishes to use the site to run a business, then calculations are carried out of likely gross takings, and deductions for finance costs, capital expenditure, operating costs, and overhead expenses.
--Potential Tenants. Where a buyer intends rent the property to a commercial tenant, he will, in addition to evaluating his own expenditures on the site, need to consider the type of business that could be operated from the premises and the likely outgoings and remuneration for the tenant, in order to judge whether the site is feasible for renting to a commercial tenant.
Similarly, where the site is to be converted into residential property for rental, projections will be made of the type of tenants likely to be interested in renting the property, as well as demand, occupancy levels, and rental income.
--Maximally productive.
After eliminating proposed uses that are not physically possible, legally permissible, or financially feasible, the valuer presents the proposed uses that meet these requirements and ranks them in order of highest value or return on investment.
While ranking the potential uses,the risks involved are also considered. A high reward possible use, for example, may also have a more significant risk factor than any of the other proposed uses.
From an investment perspective, the highest and best use of a property will be the use which optimizes the value and profitability of the asset and is within the investor's risk tolerance.
---Modern day Buyers for the bp
The bp sites has always encapsulated qualities that would appeal to a wide range of buyers: a sought after location, flexibility of use - for either residential or business purposes, substantial-income/profit potential, a history that was directly relevant to local citizens and international pilgrims, a sacredness that was genuinely valued, and the immense prestige that would be conferred on whoever owned it. These elements have existed for 15 centuries. The type of buyer that would have been interested Today, the bp plot will appeal to 3 categories of buyers:
--Business operators
For a commercial enterprise, the bp represents a hugely lucrative opportunity. The current expansion of the gm will allow sa to increase Haj and Umrah visa quotas from the current ???? To ???? Pe year. With such immense volumes of pilgrims visiting the mosque next door, a substantial number would be expected - as at present - to want to visit the location of the bp. Any business operating from the site, which provided pilgrim-related products or services, could expect to convert a sizeable number of these visitors into customers. Currently, businesses such as financial services, retailers, fast-food chains, and hotels are vying for the best locations around the gm. The hospitality sector, in particular, experiences high occupancy rates from the millions of customers competing each year for the limited number of haj or umrah places available. This is allowing meccan hotels to charge some of the highest room or suite rates internationally: hotel suites with the best views are costing $7,000 per night during peak seasons. https://www.theguardian.com/artanddesign/2012/oct/23/mecca-architecture-hajj1too old quote.
Generally owners [[M. AROUND THE BP GM AREA]] fall into the following categories; private individuals; central government and their business space providers; local authorities; health services; managing agents and commercial property investors. T
Although property owners are diverse,
--Landlords ..real estate developers
Proximity to the gm has become the ultimate currency, allowing landlords with properties within walking distance to charge sky-high rents. Demand for apartment-type accommodation around the gm has always been extremely strong and delivered higher rates of return on investment than other areas of mecca. It can be expected, therefore, that demand from pilgrims for
accommodation situated on the site where the Prophet saw himself lived, will be nothing short of phenomenal. It would also, in all probability, command Mecca’s highest apartment rental rates.
--Home seekers
For wealthy meccan citizens searching for a primary residence in the city, or those from outside the area seeking a second home or base close to the gm, the bp would be the ideal site. It’s location would not only give any house constructed here a high level of prominence, but also grant its owners a unique status, as well as convenient access to mecca’s most exclusive retail
district.
--Devout muslims
For devout Muslims and Muslim organisations, the prospect of owning and living on the site that once housed the founder of their religion, and witnessed events immensely sacred to Islamic history, would be exceptionally appealing. Worshipping in the gm each day while residing in the bp site, would be considered to be one of the ways of life/ideal lifestyle/finest lifestyles possible for a dedicated follower of the Prophet saw. Muslims of a spiritual bent would be aware that one of the surest ways to earn the priceless next-worldly rewards would be to own and preserve the bp of one God‘s Prophet‘s ams.
However, while supporters of heritage will agree that a site may be considered to be at its highest and best use when it provides the optimum return to its owner or user, but they will, at the same time, contend that HBU can manifest not only in monetary terms, but also in intangible and social values, or a combination of such values.
For Muslims, the highest and best use of the Bp site is as it is now.
It was a mandatory step, so an investor could understand how much time and money it might take to renovate and reconvert the building, anticipating the technical difficulties that might occur, and to make an accurate and well-founded investment decision.
In order to make well-founded investment decisions, investors in real estate must ascertain, prior to purchase, the full implications of the projects under consideration at the site: the legal position, budget, time line, etc.
deem it is mandatory to investigate the costs of
Filling in the gap between the current status of the building and the proposed future projects was another important milestone in the valuation process. The construction work timeline and budget are estimated.
While ranking proposed uses, it is also helpful to consider the risk associated with the proposed use.
are evaluated to discern which would give the highest return on investment.
Utility value is as a subjective assessment of the expected return on an investment at a given risk, also the utility value an investor assigns to a given investment depends largely on the investors risk tolerance.
An area of land may be considered to be at its highest and best use when it provides the optimum return to its owner or user, which may be as measured in monetary terms, or in intangible and social values, or a combination of such values.
for most Muslims, it highest and best use is as it is now.
The most complex part was to complete the highest and best use analysis of the property, considering the perspectives of a potential investor: physical possibility of transformation, legal limitation from urbanistic point of view and economic feasibility. So, the next step was to understand the limitations of the building in terms of interventions it can support and repartitioning for future economic purposes, because a historical building generally comes with significant such limitations for future reconversion and construction.
Client requirements may ask for advice taking into account the client’s specific circumstances. For instance, in recommending how much to bid for the purchase of a site based on the construction costs that can be delivered by the client as a contractor. The residual method involves estimating the cost of a project and the new value created with an allowance for profit and contingency. The difference between value and cost represents the value of the unimproved property. However the estimation of costs and the timing of future payments can be complex.
SO THE BP POT C BE BOT AND AHACENT LAND BIUGHT FOR A 100 ROOM HOTEL..... AND IF BP SITE IN BIG DEMAND NOW , CERTAINLY IT WAS IN BIG DEMAND DURING THE PAST 1500 YEARS.
Utility value is as a subjective assessment of the expected return on an investment at a given risk, also the utility value an investor assigns to a given investment depends largely on the investors risk tolerance.
The investment method is used for valuing properties which are normally held as income producing investments.
while the assessment of development costs will also require comparison to be made with build costs, fees, finance costs and other elements in similar projects.
Estimating the income and operating expenses and errors magnified on capitalisation. It is not of use to owner occupied or special purpose properties. ï‚· The cost approach – estimating depreciation particularly with regard to older buildings is difficult. Construction costs constantly change due to labour costs availability and fluctuations in the cost of materials.
Filling in the gap between the current status of the building and the proposed future projects was another important milestone in the valuation process. The construction work timeline and budget are estimated.
It was a mandatory step, so an investor could understand how much time and money it might take to renovate and reconvert the building, anticipating the technical difficulties that might occur, and to make an accurate and well-founded investment decision.
Filling in the gap between the current status of the building and the proposed future projects was another important milestone in the valuation process. The construction work timeline and budget were designed, with the valuation of the required quantities and construction costs being completed by one of the most prestigious appraisers in Romania for such estimates. And it took more than three weeks. It was a mandatory step, so an investor could understand how much time and money it might take to renovate and reconvert the building, anticipating the technical difficulties that might occur, and to make an accurate and well-founded investment decision.
REASON FOR ILLUSTRATIG THE DIVERSE RANGE OF PITENTIAL USES AND BUYERS FOR THE BP SITE TODAY, IS TO DEMOSTRATE THAT JUST AS TODAY THERE WOULD BE GREAT INTEREST FROM AROUND THE WORLD FOR PURCHASING THE SITE, SO FOR THE PAST 1500 YEARS THERE WOULD HAVE BEEN GREAT DEMAND FOR RHE SITE, DEMONSTRATE NOT LEAST, BY THE DEMAND FOR LAND ADJACENT TO, AND ALL AROUND, THE BP SITE.
whoever acquired the site would face criticism, perhaps long term, and face an international campaign to return the site back to heritage site for visitors to appreciate and revere.
asset for which there is often a limited market. --- if a muslim buys, would he wante to ive on a site of such saxredness, where some behaviours would be disliked or prohibited, where they may have to use or live in a way that they may find difficult, for examle, no shoes, as in the current livrary, no imoral behaviours... would they be will to accept the fact every day and night many pilgrims will be visting the site to pay their respects, perhaps thousands of people each week.
not only the breadth of the values attached by people and businesses to the Bp, but that these values and the wide spectrum of buyers for the site, but that the significance attached to the site is based primarily on the sacredness inherent in the site as believed by the citizens of Mecca and pilgrims from around thee world, and the profit-earning potential from visitation to such sites by local and international visitors, believed by the commercial sector. both these reasons existed .... associated with them These values have existed from the first century of Islam, and likewise the demand for the acquisition of such sites, from various quarters, has also existed since that era.
REASON FOR ILLUSTRATIG THE DIVERSE RANGE OF PITENTIAL USES AND BUYERS FOR THE BP SITE TODAY, IS TO DEMOSTRATE THAT JUST AS TODAY THERE WOULD BE GREAT INTEREST FROM AROUND THE WORLD FOR PURCHASING THE SITE, SO FOR THE PAST 1500 YEARS THERE WOULD HAVE BEEN GREAT DEMAND FOR RHE SITE, DEMONSTRATE NOT LEAST, BY THE DEMAND FOR LAND ADJACENT TO, AND ALL AROUND, THE BP SITE.
Just as today sites surrounding the gm are highly sought after for a variety of purposes, there has existed high demand since the advent of Islam to obtain such sites. Had the BP been permitted to be acquired by the public, then it is certain that it would have bought and exploited for financial gain, as sites immediately around the Bp have been.
############################################
Generally owners [[M. AROUND THE BP GM AREA]] fall into the following categories; private individuals; central government and their business space providers; local authorities; health services; managing agents and commercial property investors. T
Although property owners are diverse,
An area of land may be considered to be at its highest and best use when it provides the optimum return to its owner or user, which may be as measured in monetary terms, or in intangible and social values, or a combination of such values.
the haj ministry use the site
So, the analysis of the potential income, occupancy and exit value lead us to the conclusion that transforming the building into a luxury hotel is more feasible, with final calculations showing that this scenario would be 15% more profitable for an investor comparing with the office scenario.
A valuation is achieved by reference to the profits which a reasonable tenant could make from the occupation of the property. This involve examining the accounts to determine typical trading figures. From gross takings receipts deductions are made for operating and overhead costs, tenant’s capital and interest but excluding rent or mortgage interest payments. The result of this calculation is the “divisible balance” and represents the amount available for tenant’s share of the remuneration and landlord’s rent. This method is dependent on an interpretation the accounts to produce a reliable estimate of the market value. .... considers the criteria to be adopted by valuers when assessing market value or market rent for an individual trade related property.
whoever acquired the site would face criticism, perhaps long term, and face an international campaign to return the site back to heritage site for visitors to appreciate and revere.
asset for which there is often a limited market. --- if a muslim buys, would he wante to ive on a site of such saxredness, where some behaviours would be disliked or prohibited, where they may have to use or live in a way that they may find difficult, for examle, no shoes, as in the current livrary, no imoral behaviours... would they be will to accept the fact every day and night many pilgrims will be visting the site to pay their respects, perhaps thousands of people each week.
The profits method is used for a property whose value is derived from the trading potential of the business for which the building is purposely designed i.e. hotels and cinemas are typical examples. Comparison is used in assessing a fair maintainable level of trade
So, the analysis of the potential income, occupancy and exit value lead us to the conclusion that transforming the building into a luxury hotel is more feasible, with final calculations showing that this scenario would be 15% more profitable for an investor comparing with the office scenario. In order to accommodate an international chain affiliated luxury hotel, a building must offer at least 100 keys. Once the architects confirmed that around 150 rooms might be accommodated in the existing premises and several international operators confirmed their interested in the branding the project, our mission became easier.
The investment is,
however, significant, as can be expected for a historical building with such unique heritage like BCR Palace. But the market shows that it can absorb an offer for a hotel of this kind. Generally, buildings with a solid structure that can be preserved, but with renovations needed in all other areas in order for them to be reconverted, require an investment of about 900 euro per square meter, without considering the investment for furniture and all other specific equipment needed. An upper medium hotel adds another 10,000 - 15,000 euro per room for FF&E, while a luxury hotel can invest even double per room. Considering a potential exit value of over 250,000 euro per room, a price sustained by the transactions closed in our market or similar markets in the CEE region, the project becomes feasible. SO THE BP POT C BE BOT AND AHACENT LAND BIUGHT FOR A 100 ROOM HOTEL..... AND IF BP SITE IN BIG DEMAND NOW , CERTAINLY IT WAS IN BIG DEMAND DURING THE PAST 1500 YEARS.
Filling in the gap between the current status of the building and the proposed future projects was another important milestone in the valuation process. The construction work timeline and budget were designed, with the valuation of the required quantities and construction costs being completed by one of the most prestigious appraisers in Romania for such estimates. And it took more than three weeks. It was a mandatory step, so an investor could understand how much time and money it might take to renovate and reconvert the building, anticipating the technical difficulties that might occur, and to make an accurate and well-founded investment decision.REASON FOR ILLUSTRATIG THE DIVERSE RANGE OF PITENTIAL USES AND BUYERS FOR THE BP SITE TODAY, IS TO DEMOSTRATE THAT JUST AS TODAY THERE WOULD BE GREAT INTEREST FROM AROUND THE WORLD FOR PURCHASING THE SITE, SO FOR THE PAST 1500 YEARS THERE WOULD HAVE BEEN GREAT DEMAND FOR RHE SITE, DEMONSTRATE NOT LEAST, BY THE DEMAND FOR LAND ADJACENT TO, AND ALL AROUND, THE BP SITE.
Utility value is as a subjective assessment of the expected return on an investment at a given risk, also the utility value an investor assigns to a given investment depends largely on the investors risk tolerance.
Estimating the income and operating expenses and errors magnified on capitalisation. It is not of use to owner occupied or special purpose properties. ï‚· The cost approach – estimating depreciation particularly with regard to older buildings is difficult. Construction costs constantly change due to labour costs availability and fluctuations in the cost of materials.
The investment method is used for valuing properties which are normally held as income producing investments.
while the assessment of development costs will also require comparison to be made with build costs, fees, finance costs and other elements in similar projects.
Client requirements may ask for advice taking into account the client’s specific circumstances. For instance, in recommending how much to bid for the purchase of a site based on the construction costs that can be delivered by the client as a contractor. The residual method involves estimating the cost of a project and the new value created with an allowance for profit and contingency. The difference between value and cost represents the value of the unimproved property. However the estimation of costs and the timing of future payments can be complex.
The most complex part was to complete the highest and best use analysis of the property, considering the perspectives of a potential investor: physical possibility of transformation, legal limitation from urbanistic point of view and economic feasibility. So, the next step was to understand the limitations of the building in terms of interventions it can support and repartitioning for future economic purposes, because a historical building generally comes with significant such limitations for future reconversion and construction.
The highest priced land in Saudi Arabia is found in the areas neighbouring Mecca’s Grand Mosque. The growing demand combined with limited number of housing and commercial units has caused a surge in real estate values in recent years. The situation is similar with temporary accommodation: rising demand for rental units, and the lack of adequate supply, have led to substantial rent increases.
1) High Demand
Land in the vicinity of the Grand Mosque, the Central Zone, carries the highest prices. This is due to the extraordinary demand from Meccans and visitors to dwell close to the Grand Mosque. The key reasons for wanting to reside near the gm is to obtain the additional rewards of praying in the gm, and to minimise travelling time to and from the mosque for each prayer…/…ease the frequent travel to
the gm:summarised these as follows:
-- Praying in the gm carries 100,000 more reward than a prayer in any other mosque in mecca. Meccan residents who wanted to perform their five daily prayers in the gm wanted to live near it to make their five visits more convenient.
--The merit for a prayer is increased by going to the mosque on foot. Therefore, the distance between the worshippers house and the gm had to be sufficiently close to make walking practicle/walk to and pray there on a daily basis.
--Living near the gm conferred prestige. People who resided in the vicinity of the gm were considered more pious and blessed.
considered more pious and blessed.
--..Meccans who lived in outskirts of the city who visited the gm on a daily basis were forced to trek along narrow roads in poor conditions. Many decided to relocate their homes closer to the gm in order to avoid the time-consuming and difficult daily commute.
--The desire of large numbers of pilgrims to have their accommodation as close as possible to Al-Haram prompted many landlord’s to buy plots and properties near the gm as they would not only command higher rental rates, but also have high occupancy levels, and fewer void periods.
The competition for
2) Shortage of house building land
The primary reason for the limited supply of land in mecca was topographical constraints. The city is situated in a valley surrounded by steep mountains. This has meant that for most of its history, physical expansion of Mecca has been hindered and development has been confined mainly to the relatively flat areas of the city centre. The combination of the accommodation required for meccan resident s and ever-increasing numbers of pilgrims has meant that Mecca had faced housing congestion and shortages since the second century of Islam both the indigenous and temporary populations. both resident and pilgrim populations
At the time of the migration of the Prophet Mohammed (PBUH), Makkah consisted of a small nucleus of houses belonging to the elite of Makkah's tribes and encircling the Ka'aba. Most of these houses were one storey and enclosed by temporary structures of tents, dry stone shacks and covered shelters where the slaves, servants and other labourers lived and worked to serve their masters as well as the pilgrims. Located at a distance from the houses were some scattered tents of nomads and herds of camels, sheep and goats belonging to the merchant families of Makkah. fn:1
Closeness to the Holy Mosque has always been a primary factor in the growth and development of Makkah. From the first centur of Islam, the desire to live near Al-Haram led to the settlement becaming more compact around the Kabah. The inhabitants built their houses close together in tight clusters to make maximum use of the limited flat land
This area developed over the past centuries to serve the specific purpose of providing both
residential and allied service areas for people wanting to live near the Haram.
Small shops filled in where possible and smaller mosques were built, scattered throughout the city.
Ibn Battutah, who visited Makkah in 725, described it as a “big city" in terms of its built up area and absolute size of its population. fn2
The intensive land use around the gm was not without its issues: the area became experienced congestion and high population density. The economic viability of lots that were close to the Haram produced amorphous shaped plots, a symptom of maximum exploitation. Roads, public squares and other open spaces suffered in the search for building sites. The minimum allotment for the street network led to short, narrow roads and alleys. This caused difficulties for the movement of both local and pilgrim traffic.
In 1803 a European named Ali Bey visited Makkah and gave the following description:
"There is no open place or space in Mecca (Makkah) because the irregularity of the ground and the want of space would not-permit it". fn:3
In 1877 Keane visited Makkah and gave the following description :
"The whole of this valley, about one mile and a half long by one third of a mile across, is packed and crammed with buildings of all shapes and sizes, placed in no kind of order, climbing far up the steep side of the surrounding hills ..... “ fn: 4
CHECK CORRECT PAGE NUMBERS FOR ALL QUOTES
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fn1: Angawi, Sami, Makkan Architecture, Ph.D. Thesis, University of London, 1988, p. 151.
fn2: Ibn Battutah., (1958) The Travels of Ibn Battuta, Translated with revision and notes by Gibb., H. A. R..,
Cambridge P-397.
fn3: TRAVELS OF ALI BEY IN AFRICA AND ASIA. Travelled to mecca 1806-1807
Travels Of Ali Bey - Vol.2 Publication date 1816.………p96
fn4: Keane, J. F. (1881) My Journey to Medinah : Describing A Pilgrimage to Medinah, Tinsley Brothers,
London, p. 27.
CHECK CORRECT PAGE NUMBERS FOR ALL 3 ABOVE QUOTES
The Prophet's saw Birthplace is estimated to be the priciest land in the world.
Generally, discussions about assigning monetary value to religious heritage sites, or speculation about their commercial potential, tend attract criticism ....to be labelled / seen as insensitive and irreverent, displaying ignorance of the fact that these sites play roles for communities which cannot be measured by money, and which cannot be compensated for /replaced by any amount of money. Furthermore, such debates are seen as carrying the hazard that they will incentivise [[holding the potential for incentivising]] one or more developer to attempt to purchase these sites with a view to destroying them and replacing with higher-profit generating alternatives. [[catch the eye of investors interested in acquiring it from BCR.]]
‘Priceless: On Knowing the Price of Everything and the Value of Nothing’) is interesting since it is intended to be Wilde’s quotation about economists. But Wilde was referring to cynics, not economists.
of course there are probably other sites around the world that may be cost more per square meter, than the BP,: in Islam the Land of the two holiest sites in Islam, grand mosque and the Prophet's mosque, would fetch higher per metre costs; and in other higher value religious would probably include the vatican, thetemple on the mount, and the...
inalienability
no relevant information on which to base a valuation..............the unique nature of many heritage assets which renders reliable valuations difficult...... inalienability would render a valuation impossible or meaningless as the resultant figure could not be realised in the marketplace............ many heritage properties are held inalienably, preventing disposal or sale. This has led to the argument that, without the ability to dispose of a heritage asset, there can be no commercial value attached to it .............. argued that to place a theoretical value on a property, site, or object that cannot be sold would be misleading................... for many heritage assets, market evidence of value does exist
.
Inalienability
Many heritage properties are held inalienably, preventing disposal or sale. Thus, without the ability to dispose of a heritage asset, there can be no commercial value attached to it, and to then place a theoretical value on a property or site that cannot be sold would be both misleading and meaningless.
Knowing the widespread sentiments of believers towards their heritage, and particularly believers towards the Birthplace, why, then, risk a public deliberation about the financial worth of the Birthplace, especially in a climate when authorities are already being lobbied by both extremists and developers to allow its destruction?
The rationale behind such an undertaking is that, in the case of the Birthplace, the exercise/it actually benefits the cause of saving the site by unearthing evidence that the site has been considered 'Prime Property' since the advent of Islam; this fact, then, directly refutes from a alternative angel, [direction], key claims made by the extremists regarding the Birthplace, that:
The Extremists' Claim ...
That the site must not be accorded any significance [now], and should instead be [allowed to be] destroyed, on the grounds that, for the past 1500 years the site has not used or developed in any meaningful way, because:
(i) The leaders of Islamic nations, Meccan Authorities, and Clerics have attached no value to the Birthplace, and, hence, made no efforts to preserve it.
(ii) The Birthplace has been of so little interest to Meccan citizens and visitors, that none has been willing to make use of it.
The Realty
The evidence that exists about the history of the property market around the Grand Mosque and Birthplace, and the popularity of the Birthplace, supports the Sunni Muslim majority assertion, that for the vast majority of the period since the Prophet's saw demise, conditions in Mecca have been such that the Birth site would have been eagerly sought-after for rent or purchase, for both residential and business uses, had it been permitted to be offered to the public.
[[[by a wide array of tenants and buyers]]]
However, first Mecca's notables, and then the state, prevented the site from being exploited for commercial gain, and instead it has been continually safeguarded, repaired, renovated, and embellished throughout its history, and in a manner acutely sympathetic to its primary function as a holy site.
the high fincial worth of the Birthplaces highlights...
Throughout Islamic hostory, the Birthplace was highly valued for as a sacred site, due to its association/links to the Prophet saw, the Prophet's saw family, and Prophet Abraham as, as a historic site carying 1500 years of history of interaction with visitation by countless pilgrims, including visitation by the Muslim worlds most ce;levrsated, revered personalities , and as real estate situated in one of the most sough after locations in the world for residential and business use.. this gives a lie to the extremists proppoganda that the site
The tremendous monetary value of the Birthplace site stems from its proximity to the Grand Mosque in Mecca, and from the history attached to it
Due to its position as the focal point of Mecca, competition is keen for the area surrounding the Grand Mosque. The commercial and residential sectors have been evolving around the Mosque since the early days of the Islamic faith. By the end of the Prophet's saw tenure in 10AH, approximately 100,000 people visited Mecca ...performed the Haj pilgrimage with him saw in Mecca.
Today, the millions of pilgrims that flock to the Mecca [Mosque] each year generate huge demand for accommodation, as well as retail and financial services, in the immediate vicinity of the Mosque. The area is also a prime residential location for those who can afford the excessive prices and wish to live close to the Mosque and have the ability to walk to and pray there on a daily basis.
The demand for housing, hospitality, and retail services caused by the growth of the resident population of Mecca, the current high numbers of pilgrims, and the forecast, near-doubling of pilgrims by 2030???, has exerted great upwards pressure on real estate prices. In particular, the fierce competition between commercial and residential operators to gain a foothold as close to the Mosque as possible, and the limited supply of flat land there adaptable for development, have resulted in some of the highest land values [anywhere] in the world.
--The price of the bp site
The market value /price of a historic site such as the Birthplace land would be calculated by evaluating two element/factors:
1) The value of the plot based on the per-square-meter land price for specific location [the area] - it’s 'Prime Location Value'.
2) The premium that can be charged in addition to the Prime Location Value [added on top] to reflect the site’s historic, cultural, and religious significance - it‘s ‘Heritage Value‘.
1) Prime location value
In recent years, rates for land available close to the Mosque have reached astronomical levels:
-- In 2007 the cost of a square meter of land ranged from $27,000 to $80,000 fn1;
-- In 2010 the top rate [/ for prime land] crossed the $100,000 fn2;
-- Since 2013, plots have been costing between US$ 133,000 and US$ 400,000 per square meter, and the buying spree has meant that by 2016, the greater proportion of the city was owned by commercial real estate developers fn4.
-- By 2018, the shortage of land for sale around the gm became so acute, that developers faced challenges finding sufficient land for new retail projects fn5.
Fn1: Middle East Economic Digest (MEED), quoted in …
Fn2: https://www.arabianbusiness.com/makkah-land-prices-hit-133-000-per-sq-metre-report-40490.html
Thu 18 Feb 2010
Fn3: http://www.arabnews.com/saudi-arabia/square-meter-land-makkah-now-costs-sr-15-million
February 09, 2013
Fn4: https://www.theguardian.com/cities/2016/sep/14/mecca-hajj-pilgrims-tourism
Guardian 14 sept 2016
Fn5: https://www.venturesonsite.com/news/makkah-faces-shortage-of-large-and-suitable-land-plots-for-malldevelopments
20th September 2018 ----- this site quoting a Tradearabia news report
Prices in Mecca are constantly being projected upward, with only short periods of price dips. The city’s prime residential property prices are already substantially higher than the next five most expensive cities to buy prime property in globally:
Costs of prime residential property in cities around the world
- The top 5 most expensive residential markets after Mecca ranked 2022
CITY COST PER SQUARE METER
Monaco US$59,000
Hong Kong US$48,000
New York US$30,000
Singapore US$29,000
London US$29,000
For further information see:
https://www.knightfrank.com/research/article/2023-03-01-where-are-the-most-expensive-cities-in-the-world
Monaco-16, Hong Kong 22, new york 25, london28, geneva 41
https://www.worldatlas.com/articles/top-10-most-expensive-cities-to-buy-land.html
The Knight Frank Wealth Report 2018
1) Prime location value
DO A CHART WITH MECCA TOPPING IT
The number of pilgrims visiting the city is expected to swell to 17 million by 2025. The huge increase in visitor numbers, together with the rising Saudi population, means that land values will continue to rise.The close proximity of the bp to the gm, makes it one of the most valuable/expensive plots of prime residential or commercial land in the world today. On current levels, its price can only be topped by another plot around from around the gm.
2. Heritage Premium
The valuation of buildings is based on the concept of ‘market value’, which is the value that a building may be expected to achieve after reasonable exposure in a free, stable market.
Non-heritage properties are commonly valued by the Comparison method of valuation - this involves assessing the prices achieved for similar buildings already sold (the study properties) in the market, and applying these to the building being valued [to be appraised] (the subject property), whilst making allowances for the differences between the two sites. Valuations tend to be relatively straightforward as there is usually sufficient trading activity to provide comparable evidence and a price range within which to position the subject property.
The Comparison method is effective where: (i) there is evidence of the prices achieved for one or more other properties of the same general type; (ii) there are a number of comparables in the study properties which are similar or identical to the property being valued, and (iii) the transactions are recent and representative of the market at the time of the valuation,
However, heritage buildings, present a unique challenge to valuers in that:
(i) Lack of comparable evidence
Few heritage properties are sold in the open market. This often results in there being little or no transactional data to compare one historic site with another, thereby rendering the use of the Comparison method, or other conventional techniques, inappropriate or impossible in many instances.
(ii) Heterogeneity
Even where there is data on the valuations of similar heritage sites, a high degree of similarity is required between the study site and the site to be valued, in order to provide an accurate economic value of the study site. However, site characteristics are usually considerably different between heritage sites. Any given heritage property is likely to display distinctive features that are unmatched elsewhere, be they in terms of physical characteristics (e.g. an exemplar of a certain architectural style) or in terms of historical association (e.g. the site of an important historical event.
Heritage assets tend to be heterogeneous – they are complex combinations of characteristics and the economic values associated with the heritage assets are likely to be highly site-specific. This make comparisons difficult and subject to considerable error.
(iii) Heritage Premium
Unlike a modern building, the total value of a heritage asset is made up not only of its economic value, but also includes other attributes which have a bearing on its overall value: such as possessing social value and cultural value. Indeed, heritage assets can be said to have a second economic value, in addition to their physical and use value, which is the monetary value of the wellbeing and fufillment that individuals obtain from those assets. The amount by which these attributes/ additional values combined increase the selling price of the site is often referred to as the Heritage Premium.
Layers of Value
In order to measure the value of a heritage asset, a ‘non-standard’ treatment needs to be applied, one which takes into account other notions of value besides economic value. In valuers' parlance, heritage assets generate both economic value and cultural value, and, therefore, whereas for a non-heritage building, an assessment of economic costs and benefits would be regarded as sufficient for an appraisal, for a heritage site, an evaluation of net benefit streams in both economic and cultural terms will be required.
This is an advance on the traditional approach to safeguarding historic properties, which has operated on the basis of preserving the building rather than conserving the meanings and values associated with the building. In other words, the goal is to benefit the property and not the people who value the property. This method deprecates the importance of people, processes, and meanings in how places are valued and conserved. Thus, conservation professionals produce “objective” meanings for other conservators, but not for everyday people. The net result is a failure to understand how local populations actually value their historic places. Key heritage preservation decisions are often made without taking into account the personal, emotional, intangible, subjective, and perhaps spiritual value of heritage to individuals. This is despite calls from United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) to recognise the human value of heritage. UNESCO (2009) advocates, “Heritage is our legacy from the past, what we live with today, and what we pass on to future generations. Our cultural and natural heritage are both irreplaceable sources of life and inspiration”.
Hence, In order to arrive at the most accurate valuation of a heritage asset, the valuer needs to consider the empirical economic data on the asset in tandem with the full spectrum of cultural and religious values associated with the asset. These "Values" may be described as the Intrinsic value and the Instrumental value of the asset.
Intrinsic value is the individual intellectual, emotional and spiritual experience of the heritage. It is also the value inherent in heritage, the benefit derived from heritage products for their existence value and for their own sake; historical, aesthetic, social or scientific and the value of an asset through fundamental analysis without reference to its market value. Another facet of the intrinsic value of heritage buildings is that they are evidence of human achievement in arts, design and construction.
The Venice Charter (1964) establishes the inherent values of heritage, and the relationship between these values and the fabric of the structure: "A monument is inseparable from the history to which it bears witness and from the setting in which it occurs". (Article 7). The Charter further emphasises that these values should be revealed so that the site's meaning can be ‘read’: "Every means must be taken to facilitate the understanding of the monument and to reveal it without ever distorting its meaning". (Article 15, ICOMOS, [1964] 1996.
FN1: The Venice Charter is the common term given to The International Charter for the Conservation and Restoration of Monuments and Sites (ICOMOS) [1964].
Instrumental value is the ancillary economic effects or other benefits which may derive from the heritage asset. These include visitors and volunteers, as well as wider social, financial, environmental, and educational benefits at a community or greater level.
Values of the Bp
The Bp possess a plethora of "values" which influence its market valuation because they are held as highly significant for pilgrims and other visitors, for residents and businesses, for Muslims worldwide, for the Saudi government, and for the Saudi nation as a whole. These include:
Symbolic value
National leaders throughout history have understood the meaning of buildings. Buildings were much more than a place to live, work, worship, or to shop. Nearly as important as these basic functions, buildings were also symbols.
Religious authorities understood that a glorious house of worship provides worshipers with feelings of awe, reverence and closeness with the deity. The Meccan scene with the Grand mosque, housing the Kaaba - the birthplace of human communal worship - and the Bp ......................is, for Muslims, symbolic of the relationship between God and the Prophet saw. The Grandeur of the Mosque, the largest place of worship on Earth, encourages visitors to view God as He should be viewed, as the Almighty, the Greatest Being. In contrast, the adjacent Bp, with its inconsequential size and non-descript appearance, encourages visitors to view the Prophet saw as He saw should be viewed, as the exemplar human being who lived a life of moderation in which the recognition of the greatness of God, and complete obedience to God, were central, while personal whims and desires were secondary. This ‘master and servant’ relationship is discernibly expressed through these two adjoining sites.
Spiritual Value
Religious heritage buildings can hold deep ‘spiritual’ qualities for individuals. Such sites become an experiential metaphysical [t‘spiritual’] space filled with emotion, mindfulness, engagement and personal meaning. Individuals use heritage buildings to revisit in their minds certain periods of their own national history, and to connect more deeply with their culture or nationhood, past life experiences, and friends and families. For pilgrims, and other visitors of a spiritual "bent," the experience of a historic religious building is more personally significant and transforming than a tourist's "gaze‟ of that building.
Irreplaceability Value
As with other heritage assets, the Bp is irreplaceable in the sense that, once lost, the original cannot be recreated. A replica can be made, but no amount of accuracy in this imitation will compensate for the fact the replica is simply a modern structure devoid of every one of the criteria necessary for a site to be categorised as heritage: no substantial age, no grounds to confer cultural or religious significance on it, and no public reverence of it on the basis of the site it replaces. In the case of the Bp, a replica could not provide the public that which the BP is able to: 1500 years of interaction with the Muslim world, the sacred residency of a Divine emissary, visitation by millions of humans during the sacred pilgrimage, and the reverence, as the fourth holiest site in Islam, of hundreds of millions people around the world.
In order to bring history back to life, a few countries have created ‘copies’ and replicas of general historic sites, such as replica Norman forts and Saxon villages, as an educational or visual experience, but none has deliberately destroyed a historic site in order to make way for its replica, nor attempted to ascribe to the replica, the experience or significance of the original site.
Irreplaceability makes the economic valuation of heritage assets a tremendous challenge. The degree of irreplaceability is more acute for heritage assets which are also classed as National Treasures, such as the Bp. National Treasures are widely believed to be incapable of economic valuation.
Broadness of Support Value
The scale on which the asset matters will give some indication of whether, and how far in excess of its market value [price], the site is likely to be valued by its supporters. The geographical range on which the site matters to the public, policy makers, and other stakeholders may be on a regional, national or international level. It may also include international or national commitments such as a UNESCO listing/recognition or conservation protection under national planning policies.
Rarity Value
How unique the heritage asset is as an example of its type, can have a substantial impact on its market value. Many heritage sites are one-offs, or the only one remaining of their kind, and this exclusivity generates interest as rarity adds value.
Locational Connectivity Value
Certain heritage assets derive part of their overall value from their surroundings. Whereas some high profile heritage sites dominate their locations and positively impact the values of surrounding properties, others experience an enhancement in their value due to particular features in their setting, for example, they are situated in a major or capital city, ANOTHER REASON, they are in the vicinity of a heritage site of still greater significance. The latter case applies to the Bp: it is in the vicinity of the Grand Mosque, the holiest site in Islam, and thereby, its inherent colossal value is further embellished through its proximity to the Mosque, and its connections to the Mosque in terms of age and shared history.
Provenance Value
The provenance of an heritage asset will often significantly enhance value due to association with a particular former owner(s). The Bp was built, owned, and lived in by the Prophet’s saw family and relatives who were all direct descendants of Prophet Abraham: the house was built by the Prophet’s saw grandfather…. The ownership was subsequently transferred on to the Prophet’s saw father……, and was lived in by the Prophet saw and His saw parents. The ownership was later passed onto the Prophet saw, Himself saw.
Priceless Value
The unique nature of some heritage assets means that they are considered 'priceless'. It is not that they cannot be priced, but rather a consensus exists that any price arrived at will not be a true reflection of the site’s unique contribution to overall cultural wealth – because such a market value will fail to recognise worth as opposed to value. Where the asset is deemed to have high 'worth' , but cannot yield a market value using conventional methodology, then it is normally decided that it is not practical to value the asset on the balance sheet...This situation is most likely to arise in relation to assets which could be considered to be National Treasures.
Prestige Value
The international landmark status of the Bp confers prestige and attraction on the surrounding area. Residents and business owners derive an amenity benefit from the site and this is reflected in the value of their properties. The element of the price of these properties that is due to the heritage site, represents a type of indirect heritage premium for non-heritage properties located in the vicinity of a heritage site.
Economic Value
Sites such as the Bp, are major attractions which deliver economic value to the area surrounding them, through the expenditures by visitors on sectors such as hospitality (accommodation landlords and hotels), food outlets, multiple types of retailers, and transport. These sites also benefit the vicinity by attracting investment from local or national government in order to maintain or enhance the revenue generated by the presence of the site, for example, by improvements to local roads and pedestrian walkways.
In addition to the preceding values, which are widely acknowledged features of heritage assets, there are other, perhaps more subtle, characteristics of such sites, in terms of the feelings and attitudes they foster amongst both professionals and the public. These factors also contribute significantly to elevating the value of a site. the case for the preservation of a site:
Pride Value
For Muslims around the world to know that, in contrast to the situation regarding the birth sites of most historic figures, they enjoy the rare privilege of possessing the birth site of their founder.
Altruistic Value
This value is derived from the knowledge that others may enjoy the historic environment.
Bequest Value
This value is derived from the desire to conserve heritage assets for future generations .
Existence value
This refers to the benefits that arise from the knowledge that our heritage is being conserved per se.
Non-Use Value
Apart from residents and visitors, the general public of the region or nation, or even the international community, may have a desire to protect a site, and be willing to contribute towards the conservation of a heritage asset, regardless of the fact that they may not visit it or be near it . This form of value is known as Non-Use Value (NUV) or passive use value. One of the mains reasons why it arises is that many people feel the influence of the past and they see themselves as stewards of the nation’s heritage.
Monetizing Value
Valuers face a challenge in judging how values, such as cultural or religious values, manifest in the price assessment of a site.
As an intangible factor, the effects of a particular "value" are difficult to quantify. Since there are no industry standards, weighting the impact of values in monetary terms is heavily reliant on subjective interpretation.
Another aspect of valuations is that real market value is not the same as the value to the owner or the purchaser - who may be affected by feelings such as, sentimentality, the desire to own in order to receive public acclaim, or a belief that purchasing the site to ensure its preservation is a religious duty. This can mean that a heritage site can possess a value which far outstrips any figure which is rational in financial analysis terms, irregardless of the method of valuation adopted. For example, a property, which has a decaying fabric may attract buyers drawn to its aesthetic and historic interest features and who are in a financial position such that their decision-making is not dictated by consideration of costs. For them, the market value of the asset is not an appropriate measure of its perceived cultural or educational worth, which cannot be measured in financial terms. In such cases, the value of a particular site boils down to its worth to the prospective owner. Similarly, with premier heritage sites such as the Bp, the value of the site is what it is worth to the Saudi nation and to the world's 2 billion other Muslims.
USERS PER BIRTH SITE
Valuations based on comparisons between heritage sites are only likely to be reliable if one is valuing the same or similar assets. Moreover, the assets need to be in similar contexts: a historic building may be similar to another historic building, but its economic value may be partially determined by, as previously highlighted, its environmental surroundings or human geographical context.
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If a valuer attempt to arrive at the market value for the Bp, by comparing it with the known market value of the birth site of the founder of another religion, then in addition to analysing their locations, size, current use, date of transactions, etc., the valuer will also need to compare the characteristics of the populations visiting each of these sites. This will involve analysis such as: (i) examining the behaviour of individuals and groups visiting each site, and recording, for example, how often they visit the site; and (ii) Employing the Travel Cost Method: this concept seeks to determine the amount consumers are willing to pay for a particular location, even if there is no entry fee to pay. Visitors to a site are sampled using survey techniques to determine key information such as visit frequency, distance travelled, time taken, travel costs incurred and demographic characteristics. By aggregating the observed travel costs associated with a number of individuals accessing the site, an overall value can be obtained.
Study and policy sites must be similar in terms of population and population characteristics or differences in population must be accounted for HOW ANY
The aim will be to determine how similar the two populations are, what dissimilarities exist between these populations, and how these differences may lead to significant variations in the market value of the two sites.
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EXTRAS
The valuation of heritage real estate can involve far more analysis than is required for conventional non-heritage sites, and is somewhat of a specialised undertaking. The process requires consideration of a multiplicity of factors such as: the philosophy underpinning the protection of the building, its [t.their] significance - whether local, national, or international, its [t.their] intended use, and its economic and cultural benefits. It may also need to factor in public resistance to the notion of a valuation and disposal, and its potential impact on the marketing and achievable price.
offered by the include:
Another issue is identifying the intrinsic value is the cultural experience. Cultural experience is often based on personal experience and varies by different people
There are a variety of kinds of extrinsic final value, including part value, symbolic value, conditional value, etc.
The central points of this Section can be summarised as follows:
One can imagine other use values of a less direct nature.
Economic Value
[Monetary Gains]: for residents - Properties in proximity to the site are valued higher than similar residences at a greater distance from the heritage building;
and for businesses - custom from visitors and tourists in addition to sales to local customers.
However, today more sophisticated techniques are emerging for the valuation of heritage properties which do not view empirical economic data as being the primary or sole way of valuing heritage assets. These techniques position cultural value as a significant component in the total economic appraisal of a historic building. In particular, valuers may consider the value of a heritage site in terms of its Intrinsic value and Instrumental value.
the Birthplace is every Muslims Birthright First, WTA is consistent with the notion of heritage as ‘birthright’.
The wider meaning of the term ‘heritage’ is generally associated with the word ‘inheritance’ and is something transferred from one generation to another (Nuryanti, 1996).
M... FOR MANY BELIEVERS, the heritage site which they and the rest of their nation inherited from the past, are as important to protect and pass on intact the the next generation, as the property, jewelrey and other belingongs they intend to pass on to their children.... of their religion as is valuable as the items they
the lesser known and rated diriya birthplace has is considered so important valued so highly that it has 500million spent on developing it and its surroundings , and this is for a birthplace of a mere follower of the Prophet saw - on this basis what should the bp of his leader saw be worth and how much more should be spent on embellishing that and the area around it.then mere
The value of the land should only be based on the intended[m. best] use and not the best [m. most profitable use]use. This is because land where say offices are permitted to be built would be worth more than land upon which only a fire-station could be built. SO LAND WITH PERMISSION FOR A 2O STOREY/MULTI STOREY HOTEL, OR OFFICES, WOULD BE WORTH MORE HIGHER SELLING PRICE THAN FOR AN IDENTICALLY SIZED AND LOCATED PLOT WITH PERMISSION ONLY FOR A RESIDENTIAL BUILDING OR A 3 STOREY OFFICES...LAND AROUND GM GRANTE PERMISSION FOR HOTELS, FAST FOOD CHAINS AND RETAILERS, SOETHING OTHER BIRTHPLACES WILL NOT GET... SEE HOLIEST SITES AND BIRTHPLACES IN OTHER RELIGIONS TO SEE WHAT DEMOLISHED, HOW CLOSE HITELS, RETAILERS TO THE HOLY SITE.
There are a number of other factors a valuer will have to take into account when assessing the value of historic buildings. In some cases, weighting the impact in monetary terms may be straightforward, but for other intangible factors the effect will be more difficult to quantify, particularly where it is reliant on subjective interpretation.
Accurate analysis of evidence and an understanding of the many factors influencing value are essential in order to arrive at a well-informed opinion.
In this respect, the valuation process for historic properties is no different to any other category of property. It is recognised that historic properties may present more challenges for the valuer, because of their particular characteristics and lack of uniformity compared with more modern buildings. Valuers need to not only recognise these factors and issues that are specific to historic property, but also understand how these are then manifested in the valuation.
HISTORIC
Valuing historic properties or sites is not different to valuing any other type of property. The beginning of the process is starting with the first principles, adopting one or more of the valuation methods and adapting that selected and when required allowing for the issues that affect the individual property. In relation to historic buildings and before attempting a valuation, it is necessary to have an understanding of the historic and architectural characteristics as well as factual information relating to the structure to be valued.
The valuation of historic properties requires valuers to understand the philosophy underpinning the protection of the historic environment. While the weight of opinion might lean towards the view that listing and conservation area status add value in terms of prestige and heritage value,
Whilst many elements within a valuation, such as the effect of location and local market conditions, can be assessed with clarity and certainty, the impact of the ‘heritage’ aspect is difficult to measure. Heritage value can be physical and/or associative, and is most simply defined as: the assessment of the effect on value specifically attributable to the historic character and particular circumstances of a property (RICS, 2013). The effect on value of a heritage element will be exclusive to an individual asset, but can also have an impact the market value of the surrounding properties. For example, the presence of historic buildings located within a conservation area may increase the value of properties located within or nearby its boundary. A ‘heritage’ aspect can often increase value, but this is not always true.
Non-heritage properties are commonly valued by the Comparison method of valuation - this involves assessing the prices achieved for similar buildings (the study properties) in the market [already sold], and applying these to the building being valued [to be appraised] (the subject property), whilst making allowances for the differences between the two sites. Valuations tend to be relatively straightforward as there is usually sufficient trading activity to provide comparable evidence and a price range within which to position the subject property.observe the level of prices and thereby determin the marketine the value of them by comparison
A comparable can be broadly defined as an item used during the valuation process as evidence in support of the valuation of a different item of the same general type. Comparable evidence comprises a set of comparables used in support of a valuation. The asset being valued relies on the established economic principle of substitution. This means a buyer of an item would not pay more than the cost of acquiring a satisfactory substitute. A price to pay for a particular item will therefore normally look to the price achieved for similar items in the market (the comparable evidence) and makes a bid with this information. When identifying, analysing and applying the comparable evidence, the valuer or potential purchaser will ensure that it is: comprehensive, there are a number of comparables similar or identical to the item being valued, recent transactions and representative of the market at the time of the valuation, an arm’s length transaction in the open market i.e. not connected parties, checked where possible and consistent with local market practice. Comparable evidence forms the basis the valuation for most openly traded goods.
In contrast, heritage buildings present special challenges to valuers, as few are sold in the open market. This often results in there being little or no transactional data to compare one historic site with another. Therefore, The established valuation principles used for more modern buildings usually cannot be applied to historic buildings.
a lack of comparable evidence renders use of conventional techniques inappropriate or impossible in many instances.
The solution is usually to value heritage real estate by taking into account factors such as: their significance - whether local, national, or international, their intended use - on the assumption that the existing use of the building continues, or an alternative use, commonly retail, offices or leisure,
The valuation of heritage properties requires careful consideration of a multiplicity of factors that can take into account the importance of these properties, such as long-term maintenance needs and the various restrictions on alterations
It is understandable, that attempting to appraise/a valuation of what is a truly unique historical landmark, holding international significance, where there is no established trading market, and whose mere appraisal will attract international criticism and condemnation is an undertaking fraught with difficulties and complexities..............poses
The value of the assets is not necessarily economic value but may be social and cultural value in nature
It is common practice to use market evidence from local comparable transactions to value building or structure. Historic buildings are often difficult to value using this method due to the limited transactions in the market place. Often comparables will need to be sourced from outside of the local area and into different regions and even nationally.
In order to measure the value of heritage assets, a ‘non-standard’ treatment needs to be applied, which takes into account other notions of value besides economic value. In valuers language, heritage assets generate both economic value and cultural value, and whereas for a non-heritage building, an assessment of economic costs and benefits would be regarded as sufficient for the appraisal, for a heritage site, an evaluation of net benefit streams in both economic and cultural terms will be required.
Even a relatively low profile heritage site with relevance only for the locality or region can deliver considerable public benefits: such as:
Economic Value [Monetary Gains]: for residents - Properties in proximity to the site are valued higher than similar residences at a greater distance from the heritage building; and for businesses - custom from visitors and tourists in addition to sales to local customers.
Cultural Value [Non-Monetary “Value”] - historic buildings offer many layers of “value” to a community, for tourists and visitors, as well as for for residents and businesses, these include: aesthetic value, social value (sense of identity and space), prestige, spiritual value, symbolic value, urban context value, authenticity value (its genuineness), and historical value.
If a valuer is able compare the financial outlay and return [costs and benefits] associated with a site in commensurate terms, then valuation becomes a relatively straightforward undertaking. However, in the case heritage assets, whereas the financial benefits of a site [economic value] can be measured through standard practices, attempting to translate the cultural benefits of a site, which exist in non-monetary units, into monetary terms, requires the consideration of a multiplicity of factors concerning these cultural attributes, and it often requires a committee made up of valuers and other specialists to arrive at a value determination.
hen a buyer is purchasing the right to the enjoyment of future benefits and where future benefits are expressed in monetary terms. I
determined, First, if one cannot compare costs and benefits in commensurate terms, it is hard to know how much to spend on them. If benefits are in some non-monetary units but costs are in monetary terms, then the only techniques available for rational decision-making are (a) leaving it to political judgement and (b) cost-effectiveness analysis14
Value can be divided into two categories intrinsic and Instrumental.
Instrumental value
The instrumental value is the benefit of a heritage product in terms of visitors and volunteers and wider social, economic, environmental and educational benefits at a community level.
Instrumental value is the benefit of the heritage product in terms of visitors and volunteers and wider social, economic, environmental and educational benefits at a community level... Instrumental value is the ancillary economic effects such as urban regeneration which may derive from the asset... The ancillary effects of culture is where culture is used to achieve a social or economic purpose and ... the instrumental aspect lies in emphasising culture as a means or instrument to attain goals in other than cultural areas.
Economic Benefits
Our tourism industry benefits immensely because of our historic environment and this includes the additional economic effects.
Intrinsic value
The intrinsic value is the inherent in heritage, the benefit derived from heritage products for their existence value and for their own preservation; historical, aesthetic, social or scientific
Intrinsic value is the individual intellectual, emotional and spiritual experience of the heritage. It is also the value inherent in heritage, the benefit derived from heritage products for their existence value and for their own sake; historical, aesthetic, social or scientific and the value of an asset through fundamental analysis without reference to its market value... Heritage property value cannot be expressed only with statistics because the heritage value is influenced by other factors like intrinsic value. Intrinsic value is the value of an asset through fundamental analysis without reference to its market value. Historic Buildings have their own intrinsic value
Historic buildings have intrinsic value in their own right, they are evidence of human achievement in arts, design and construction and beneficial to a nations spiritual and cultural well- being.
Another issue is identifying the intrinsic value is the cultural experience. Cultural experience is often based on personal experience and varies by different people (Holden, 2004). In contrast, extrinsic value is the based on appearance or what it could be sold for, which may not be the real value. Final value is the value something has for its own sake. There are a variety of kinds of extrinsic final value, including part value, symbolic value, conditional value, etc.
Inherent value
The Venice Charter (1964) establishes the inherent values of heritage, and the relationship between these values and the fabric of the structure: "A monument is inseparable from the history to which it bears witness and from the setting in which it occurs". (Article 7). The Charter further emphasises that these values should be revealed so that the site's meaning can be ‘read’: "Every means must be taken to facilitate the understanding of the monument and to reveal it without ever distorting its meaning". (Article 15, ICOMOS, [1964] 1996.
FN: The Venice Charter is the common term given to The International Charter for the Conservation and Restoration of Monuments and Sites (ICOMOS) [1964].
The central points of this Section can be summarised as follows:
o Heritage assets have economic value, where economic value is defined as the monetary value of the wellbeing that individuals obtain from those assets.
o Where an asset is threatened with disappearance, its entire total economic value constitutes the benefit of preventing that disappearance.
One can imagine other use values of a less direct nature. Suppose the heritage site is a landmark asset that confers prestige and attraction on the surrounding area. Then, anyone living in that area might derive an amenity benefit from the site and this might show up in the value of their property. The element of the price of the property that is due to the heritage site reflects individuals’ WTP to locate in that area because of the heritage site.
OTHER BENEFITS
Traditionally, these concepts are predicated on preserving the object rather than conserving the meanings and values associated with the object. In other words, the goal is to benefit the object and not the people who value the object. This method, which has roots in antiquated nineteenth-century Western scientific traditions, deprecates the importance of people, processes, and meanings in how places are valued and conserved. Thus, conservation professionals produce “objective” meanings for other conservators, but not for everyday people. The net result is a failure to understand how local populations actually value their historic places
here may be cases where an asset which incurs considerable and non-recoverable ongoing costs of management and maintenance will have a value in exchange which far outstrips any figure which is rational in cash flow analysis terms. For example, a property, which has decaying fabric may attract buyers drawn to its aesthetic and historic interest features and who are in a financial position such that their decision-making is not dictated by consideration of costs.................... the valuation of this type of property [[mmeuseum pieces]] is, on occasion, highly subjective and that opionions of experts may vary considerably in terms of attribution and authenticity, as well as value.
heritage assets present unique challenges to valuers. Many heritage assets have seldom been valued in the past....... market value with reference to comparable transactions, or in the case of some real estate assets, potential profitability. Whilst "worth to the owneer".....worth to the nation
There is one other major category of economic value that needs to be considered.
the market value of many types of asset will not be an appropriate measure of their perceived cultural or educational worth, which cannot be measured in financial terms
non-use value (NUV) or passive use value. Apart from residents and visitors, the general public of the region or nation, or even the international community, may be willing to pay something towards the upkeep of the heritage asset, regardless of the fact that they may not visit it or be near it7 . This form of value is known as non-use value (NUV) or passive use value. NUV can be substantial and may outweigh UV, especially where goods are unique. This WTP arises from all kinds of motives. One obvious motive is that many people feel the influence of the past and they see themselves as stewards of the nation’s heritage.What matters is that people may be willing to pay to conserve heritage despite having no use value for it.
Altruistic value is derived from the knowledge that others may enjoy the historic environment
whilst bequest value is derived from the desire to conserve heritage assets for future generations8 .
Existence value refers to the benefits that arise from the knowledge that our heritage is being conserved per se.
Indeed, without the explicit consideration of the non-use value associated with heritage, the public good argument that often supports public provision of cultural goods is typically less strong for heritage assets, especially where it is possible to charge entry fees and exclude users.
option value. Yet others may be willing to pay to conserve the option of visiting the site or locating near it in the future. This is option value. Efforts to estimate this notion of option value have not always been very successful because of the difficulty of separating it out from other notions of WTP.
Irreplaceability
As with other heritage assets, the Bp is irreplaceable in the sense that, once lost, the original cannot be recreated. ‘Copies’ and replicas can often be made, just as there are replica Norman forts and Saxon villages. The degree of irreplaceability is perhaps more severe for built heritage than it is for environmental assets. Apart from the extinction of species and, say, primary forests, many environmental assets can be recreated with barely discernible differences from the original. The question is whether irreplaceability makes heritage assets special in the sense of making them a challenge for economic valuation (or even incapable of economic valuation). .... postponing irreversible decisions.
Uniqueness
A lot of heritage sites are unique and that in itself generates an interest as rarity adds value.
o Cultural assets tend to be heterogeneous – they are complex combinations of characteristics. This may make value transfer subject to considerable error.
Valuations will be affected by factors such as styles, locations, condition, local and national policies, whether the building is listed or in a conservation area, and public perception.
Most valuers’ work is based on the concept of ‘market value’, which is the value the building might be reasonably expected to achieve after reasonable exposure in a free, stable market. Real market value is not the same as the value to the owner, who may be affected by feelings of sentimentality and a distorted sense of worth. Also, value and price are not the same: even though prices are often the best indicators of market value, they are not decisive.
PRICELESS
the issue of heterogeneity is a critical one. Not onl does the unique nature of many heritage asets mean that comparables are not available, there is a view held by many that there are some assets which are considered 'priceless'. By this, ot is meant, not that they cannot be priced, but that the price that would be achievable may not be a true reflection of their unique contribution to overall cultural wealth. in short, such a market value may fail to recognise worth as opposed to value. where the asset is deemed to have high 'worth', but does not yeild a market value using conventional methodology, it might be decided that it is not practicle to calue the asset on the balance sheet...this situation os most likely to arise in relation to assets which could be considered to fall under the head of National Treasure.
heterogeneous
The reason is simple: value transfer is only likely to be reliable if one is valuing the same or similar assets. Not only that, but the assets need to be in similar contexts: a historic building may be similar to another historic building, but its economic value may be partially determined by its environmental surroundings or human geographical context.
o Cultural assets tend to be heterogeneous – they are complex combinations of characteristics. This may make value transfer subject to considerable error. .... HARDER TO COMPARE and value.... too many dissiilarities.
The valuation provided for the lender will often be based on comparable sales of similar buildings with adjustments for location, size and date of transactions. The outcome of this this research is a new valuation technique
Site/good characteristics should be the same, or differences should be accounted for
As Section 2.7 previously highlighted, the typical heterogeneity of heritage assets is an important consideration in relation to the reliability of transferring economic values from one context to another. Of concern is the expectation that economic values associated with the historic environment and heritage assets are likely to be highly site and good-specific. Without a high degree of similarity between the study good and the policy good (in conjunction with a similar change in provision of the good as discussed above) it is unlikely that value transfer will provide an accurate proxy of economic value at the policy site.
From a practical point of view, this implies that if a WTP value is sought for a project that values restoration of some aspect of, say, a cathedral, then studies that have considered the benefits of restoring the similar features of other cathedrals will be the most suitable candidates for value transfer. However, further difficulty can be envisaged since clearly no two cathedrals are identical. This point is particularly pertinent, indeed any given heritage asset is likely to display distinctive features that are unmatched elsewhere, be they in terms of physical characteristics (e.g. an exemplar of a certain architectural style) or in terms of historical association (e.g. the site of an important historical event).
It is common practice to use market evidence from local comparable transactions to value building or structure. Historic buildings are often difficult to value using this method due to the limited transactions in the market place. Often comparables will need to be sourced from outside of the local area and into different regions and even nationally.
The valuation provided for the lender will often be based on comparable sales of similar buildings with adjustments for location, size and date of transactions. The outcome of this this research is a new valuation technique
quite apart from the physical features of a heritage asset site there is a subjective element which might include local people’s feelings about the site, wider landscape setting, and also ecological and wildlife considerations. Similarly, current appraisal guidance also uses judgemental indicators to establish the significance of the heritage asset in question. These indicators relate to each of the WebTAG features categories above, and are:
o Scale (on which the asset matters) – this is the geographical scale at which the feature/attribute matters to policy makers and stakeholders at all levels. It also includes international or national commitments (e.g. UNESCO, Planning Policy Guidance, etc) suggesting the level of importance of a site.
o Rarity – refers to how unique the asset is as an example of its type and incorporates assessments of fragility and vulnerability.
o Significance – while designations suggest level of significance, this indicator is not wholly based on designation, but more generally on the characteristics of a heritage asset that makes it important.
this heterogeneity certainly represents a significant obstacle to the selection of economic values for new policy good contexts that may arise. The implication is, then, that when seeking to employ value transfer, judgement concerning the degree of similarity between the policy good and the study good will be a particularly important influence on the perceived validity and reliability of economic values inputted to the appraisal process.
Critically then, some assessment and judgement is needed when undertaking value transfer exercises to determine what is ‘similar enough’.
Study and policy sites must be similar in terms of population and population characteristics or differences in population must be accounted for HOW ANY USERS PER BIRTH SITE
If the characteristics of the population of interest for the policy good are different from the population affected by the study good, then it is likely that WTP for the heritage asset in question will differ between these two contexts. Therefore when undertaking a value transfer exercise it is important to consider differences that may exist between these populations and how these differences may influence the WTP amount that is transferred to the policy context.
Again it is the case that some judgement will be needed to determine how similar the study sample population and the policy good population are, and whether any differences between these two populations would be expected to lead to significant differences in WTP estimates between the two sites.
Hence, the report so far has focussed on the use of value transfer without explicitly considering if sufficient valuation literature exists to enable value transfer exercises to take place. Indeed the quality and breadth of the existing body of literature will determine whether conditions that relate the matching of a policy good to a study good can be satisfied.
By and large, these criteria appear to be fairly restrictive, making it unlikely that a ‘perfect’ match can be made between a study site and policy site. In particular, value transfer in relation to the historic environment faces an additional dimension of complexity due to the largely unique nature of heritage assets. A whole host of characteristics and features serve to ensure that two assets are seldom alike. Some of these are perhaps more descriptive (e.g. form, survival, condition, time period, etc as well as designations), while others are of a more subjective nature (e.g. significance).
Surroundings
LOCATIONAL CONNECTIVITY
it will be a matter of valuer judgement and experience as to the added value that may arise by the connection of a portable asset to a particular location. for example, the very fact that an item of art is placed within its original setting may add value which, if moved would be lost. in such cases it is the ci-location of the portable and the realty which can create additional value.
The provenance of an item will often significantly enhance value due to association with a particular former owner(s).
Where there are no (or limited) transactions to use for the comparative method, the residual method provides another valuation approach. The limited analysis of comparable sales can give a useful check of the accuracy of a residual valuation.
Client requirements may ask for advice taking into account the client’s specific circumstances. For instance, in recommending how much to bid for the purchase of a site based on the construction costs that can be delivered by the client as a contractor. The residual method involves estimating the cost of a project and the new value created with an allowance for profit and contingency. The difference between value and cost represents the value of the unimproved property. However the estimation of costs and the timing of future payments can be complex.
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN BIRTHPLACES ... INCLUDING DIRIYA
The travel cost method The travel cost method (TCM) concept is calculated by incurring time and money costs, consumers reveal a willingness to pay for a particular location, even if there is no entry fee to pay. Visitors to a site are sampled using survey techniques to determine key information such as visit frequency, distance travelled, time taken, travel costs incurred and demographic characteristics. By aggregating the observed travel costs associated with a number of individuals accessing the asset a demand curve can be plotted, and an overall value obtained.
Smith (1986) argues TCM produces more reliable estimates than other valuation techniques such as, for example, the contingent valuation methodology and the reason is TCM uses observed instead of hypothetical data to generate results. There are two types of TCM theses are visitation frequency model and choice model (Navrud & Ready, 2003). The visitation frequency model sees how often the individual or similar groups tend to visit the given site. While, the choice model looks at the given site, which site will be selected by the visitor. The advantages of TCM are 1) it's based on actual behaviour and 2) can be applied without great expenses
2) Heritage Value
The Birthplace is a heritage asset embodying great historical value. It’s financial worth is significantly enhanced through its connection with the Prophet saw, and the 1500 years of history attached to it.
Around the world, sites which are the birthplaces of religions, nations, and political movements are acknowledged as national assets. They attract both heritage protection measures and funding for their conservation. The Saudi gov, for instance, is spending almost $133 million fn1 to preserve and enhance the other key birthplace in the country: Diriyah - the 18th century birthplace of the Saudi state.
Fn1: September 28, 2012
https://www.thenational.ae/world/mena/saudi-arabia-s-camelot-to-be-restored-at-cost-of-dh488m-1.390760
the veneration, and birth sites of religious leaders usually cross national boudaries, and be venerated by hundreds of millions, or in the case of jesus, and the Prophet saw, by billions of people.
The current arrangement on the Birthplace site is that of the erection of the MM library with raised foundations over the Birthplace site. This has been done to preserve Birthplace’s remains. Although the library has played an invaluable role in protecting the site, the main focus of attention for a valuer would be the structure below it: the surviving foundations and walls of the Birthplace house.
The Birthplace site’s tremendous heritage value demands that a premium is payable. This ‘heritage premium’ is a measure of the combined value that the selling and buying parties agree to place on aspects such as the site’s heritage character, its architectural style elements, and it’s level of significance to society. On the basis of ‘level of significance to society‘ alone, the Birthplace will have to command an exceptional premium - considering that after the three Grand [most sacred] mosques in Islam (the Mosque in Mecca, the Prophet‘s saw Mosque in Medina, and Al Aqsa Mosque in Jerusalem???), the Birthplace is regarded as the next most sacred site in Islam.
The most common method employed in the valuation of historic properties - and particularly the heritage premium - is the "Sales-Comparison" approach. The valuer analysis the sales data of comparable properties with historic features similar to those of the subject. The criteria for the selection of comparable properties include similarity in location, architectural style, property size,
and the specific cultural or historic associations of the subject property.
This method, however, is difficult to apply to the Birthplace because the only sites that could be considered suitable for comparison are the birthplaces of the founders of other world religions: the birthplace of Jesus in the Church of the Nativity in Bethlehem, the birthplace of Guru Nanak in Rai Bhoi di Talvandi [present-day Nankana Sahib, Punjab, Pakistan], and the birthplace of Buddha in the Rupandehi District of Lumbini Province in Nepal; And no sales data exists relating to them.
even if a formula existed that could assign monetary value to the birthplaces of founders of religion, the value of birthplace of the Prophet saw would to Furthermore, of the 4 birthplaces of religion founders, only the Prophet's saw sits in a location:
- Visited by ?million each year, with visitor numbers forecast to reach ?? by 2025.
- Surrounded by the world's foremost retailers and hoteliers who are paying unprecedented sums for
a presence/the land around the Grand Mosque.
- Where the government is spending tens of USD billions to enhance and popularise even further.
These features of the Birthplace's setting differentiate it from the other 3, and point to the fact that it's historic value is markedly higher, because more people appreciate it's history, and this is demonstrated by the interest shown in it and
Therefore, due to the uniqueness of the bp, perhaps a more suitable method of determining the premium is a valuation derived from individual perceptions. Quite simply, this amounts to the price a seller is willing to accept in excess of the market per-square-metre value, or what a buyer with the highest offer is prepared to pay. A process of sealed-bids, or an auction with a reserve price that incorporates the minimum heritage premium which the seller finds acceptable, will allow multiple buyers to compete against each other for the plot. The highest bid translates into a valuation from one segment of the market.
---Modern day Buyers for the bp
The bp sites has always encapsulated qualities that would appeal to a wide range of buyers: a sought after location, flexibility of use - for either residential or business purposes, substantial-income/profit potential, a history that was directly relevant to local citizens and international pilgrims, a sacredness that was genuinely valued, and the immense prestige that would be conferred on whoever owned it. These elements have existed for 15 centuries. The type of buyer that would have been interested Today, the bp plot will appeal to 3 categories of buyers:
--Business operators
For a commercial enterprise, the bp represents a hugely lucrative opportunity. The current expansion of the gm will allow sa to increase Haj and Umrah visa quotas from the current ???? To ???? Pe year. With such immense volumes of pilgrims visiting the mosque next door, a substantial number would be expected - as at present - to want to visit the location of the bp. Any business operating from the site, which provided pilgrim-related products or services, could expect to convert a sizeable number of these visitors into customers. Currently, businesses such as financial services, retailers, fast-food chains, and hotels are vying for the best locations around the gm. The hospitality sector, in particular, experiences high occupancy rates from the millions of customers competing each year for the limited number of haj or umrah places available. This is allowing meccan hotels to charge some of the highest room or suite rates internationally: hotel suites with the best views are costing $7,000 per night during peak seasons. https://www.theguardian.com/artanddesign/2012/oct/23/mecca-architecture-hajj1too old quote.
Generally owners [[M. AROUND THE BP GM AREA]] fall into the following categories; private individuals; central government and their business space providers; local authorities; health services; managing agents and commercial property investors. T
Although property owners are diverse,
--Landlords ..real estate developers
Proximity to the gm has become the ultimate currency, allowing landlords with properties within walking distance to charge sky-high rents. Demand for apartment-type accommodation around the gm has always been extremely strong and delivered higher rates of return on investment than other areas of mecca. It can be expected, therefore, that demand from pilgrims for
accommodation situated on the site where the Prophet saw himself lived, will be nothing short of phenomenal. It would also, in all probability, command Mecca’s highest apartment rental rates.
--Home seekers
For wealthy meccan citizens searching for a primary residence in the city, or those from outside the area seeking a second home or base close to the gm, the bp would be the ideal site. It’s location would not only give any house constructed here a high level of prominence, but also grant its owners a unique status, as well as convenient access to mecca’s most exclusive retail
district.
--Devout muslims
For devout Muslims, the prospect of owning and living on the site that once housed the founder of their religion, and witnessed events immensely sacred to Islamic history, would be exceptionally appealing. Worshipping in the gm each day while residing in the bp site, would be considered to be one of the ways of life/ideal lifestyle/finest lifestyles possible for a dedicated follower of the Prophet saw. Muslims of a spiritual bent would be aware that one of the surest ways to earn the priceless next-worldly rewards would be to own and preserve the bp of one God‘s Prophet‘s ams.
It is common for heritage real estate to be used commercially, thereby raising the need for a cash flow based type of value assessment over and above the intrinsic ‘heritage value’. This poses difficulties in the valuation of heritage assets in general and heritage real estate assets in particular. This is further compounded by the lack of information for valuing assets.
Profits method
The profits method is used for a property whose value is derived from the trading potential of the business for which the building is purposely designed i.e. hotels and cinemas are typical examples. Comparison is used in assessing a fair maintainable level of trade (see Red Book GN 2, Valuation of individual trade related properties). Comparison is also used to derive values for the key inputs in a discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation including not only net rent and yield but also the growth rate, discount rate, costs and disposal price at the end of the investment period. Thirdly, cost approach, there are two methods that fall within the cost approach: the replacement cost (contractor’s) method and the residual method. The replacement cost method is used to value properties that do not ordinarily exchange on the open market (for example, public buildings) and for which direct comparable evidence are not available. The valuations are based on two elements: the depreciated cost of the building element and the value of the land. Current build costs and often the land value will be established by comparison. The profits or accounts method is used when comparables are not available, for example hotels and restaurants RICS (2014). Historically, the profits method was used for the valuation of public utilities, e.g. cemeteries, railways, docks and harbours and gas works. In Kingston Union AC v. Metropolitan Water Board (1926) the House of Lords held that, unless special circumstances applied, public utility undertakings were required to be valued on the profits basis. A valuation is achieved by reference to the profits which a reasonable tenant could make from the occupation of the property. This involve examining the accounts to determine typical trading figures. From gross takings receipts deductions are made for operating and overhead costs, tenant’s capital and interest but excluding rent or mortgage interest payments. The result of this calculation is the “divisible balance” and represents the amount available for tenant’s share of the remuneration and landlord’s rent. This method is dependent on an interpretation the accounts to produce a reliable estimate of the market value. .... considers the criteria to be adopted by valuers when assessing market value or market rent for an individual trade related property.
whoever acquired the site would face criticism, perhaps long term, and face an international campaign to return the site back to heritage site for visitors to appreciate and revere.
asset for which there is often a limited market. --- if a muslim buys, would he wante to ive on a site of such saxredness, where some behaviours would be disliked or prohibited, where they may have to use or live in a way that they may find difficult, for examle, no shoes, as in the current livrary, no imoral behaviours... would they be will to accept the fact every day and night many pilgrims will be visting the site to pay their respects, perhaps thousands of people each week.
So, the analysis of the potential income, occupancy and exit value lead us to the conclusion that transforming the building into a luxury hotel is more feasible, with final calculations showing that this scenario would be 15% more profitable for an investor comparing with the office scenario. In order to accommodate an international chain affiliated luxury hotel, a building must offer at least 100 keys. Once the architects confirmed that around 150 rooms might be accommodated in the existing premises and several international operators confirmed their interested in the branding the project, our mission became easier.
The investment is,
however, significant, as can be expected for a historical building with such unique heritage like BCR Palace. But the market shows that it can absorb an offer for a hotel of this kind. Generally, buildings with a solid structure that can be preserved, but with renovations needed in all other areas in order for them to be reconverted, require an investment of about 900 euro per square meter, without considering the investment for furniture and all other specific equipment needed. An upper medium hotel adds another 10,000 - 15,000 euro per room for FF&E, while a luxury hotel can invest even double per room. Considering a potential exit value of over 250,000 euro per room, a price sustained by the transactions closed in our market or similar markets in the CEE region, the project becomes feasible. SO THE BP POT C BE BOT AND AHACENT LAND BIUGHT FOR A 100 ROOM HOTEL..... AND IF BP SITE IN BIG DEMAND NOW , CERTAINLY IT WAS IN BIG DEMAND DURING THE PAST 1500 YEARS.
Filling in the gap between the current status of the building and the proposed future projects was another important milestone in the valuation process. The construction work timeline and budget were designed, with the valuation of the required quantities and construction costs being completed by one of the most prestigious appraisers in Romania for such estimates. And it took more than three weeks. It was a mandatory step, so an investor could understand how much time and money it might take to renovate and reconvert the building, anticipating the technical difficulties that might occur, and to make an accurate and well-founded investment decision.REASON FOR ILLUSTRATIG THE DIVERSE RANGE OF PITENTIAL USES AND BUYERS FOR THE BP SITE TODAY, IS TO DEMOSTRATE THAT JUST AS TODAY THERE WOULD BE GREAT INTEREST FROM AROUND THE WORLD FOR PURCHASING THE SITE, SO FOR THE PAST 1500 YEARS THERE WOULD HAVE BEEN GREAT DEMAND FOR RHE SITE, DEMONSTRATE NOT LEAST, BY THE DEMAND FOR LAND ADJACENT TO, AND ALL AROUND, THE BP SITE.
Utility Value
Utility value is as a subjective assessment of the expected return on an investment at a given risk, also the utility value an investor assigns to a given investment depends largely on the investors risk tolerance. The majority of historic places and buildings are occupied and have economic and social value as living accommodation, commercial space or recreational space and help generate economic growth. Utility value is an important concern in decision making and it is necessary that places and buildings adapt for modern uses, needs and demands whilst retaining their cultural and heritage value. If the requirements of owners, occupiers and users of buildings are not being met, they may fall vacant and be at risk (ihbc.org.uk, 2019).
All valuation approaches available have limitations and a brief explanation of the limitations for each approach includes: ï‚· The comparison approach – it can be difficult to obtain reliable sales transactions and making changes for size differences and transaction dates will have an effect on end valuation. ï‚· Income approach – selecting an appropriate capitalisation rate. Estimating the income and operating expenses and errors magnified on capitalisation. It is not of use to owner occupied or special purpose properties. ï‚· The cost approach – estimating depreciation particularly with regard to older buildings is difficult. Construction costs constantly change due to labour costs availability and fluctuations in the cost of materials. None of the current approaches have specifically been designed for historic buildings and all are considered to be appropriate for all types of buildings regardless of their age and construction.
investment method
The investment method is used for valuing properties which are normally held as income producing investments. The value of such an investment is the product of the net income and the inverse of the market yield. Investment is the payment of a capital sum in exchange for the benefits to be received in the future. Where a freehold property is let at its full rental value and there is therefore no known reversionary element to be valued and no recovery of capital to be provided for, an investment valuation is therefore net income multiplied by years purchase. This method can be used for the valuation of heritage buildings once a business has been set-up, established and producing an income.
Residual method
The residual method, used to assess the value of a development site, combines elements of the income and cost approaches. It requires calculation of the value of the completed development that will be reached by comparison with market transactions, while the assessment of development costs will also require comparison to be made with build costs, fees, finance costs and other elements in similar projects.
COST METHOD
In some instances the first four methods of valuation (Comparison, Residual, Profits and Investment) are not suitable for a particular property. Buildings are sometimes designed to be occupied by public organisations, for example, councils, emergency services, Ministry of Defence, and healthcare sectors. Because of their uniqueness it is not appropriate or feasible to value them for commercial use. These properties rarely exchange in the market place and because of this there is little or no comparable evidence is available to compare with. For these types of property the Contractors method (also known as Summation) is used. This method does have limitations and is often referred to as the method of ‘last resort’. This is because the principle is based on a building or property’s value being the same as cost (which is often a flawed concept, as ‘cost’ is a fairly definite sum, whereas ‘value’ is not). This method works on the idea of the cost of the land plus the cost of the buildings on it equals the value of the property as a whole.
Residual method
The residual method, used to assess the value of a development site, combines elements of the income and cost approaches. It requires calculation of the value of the completed development that will be reached by comparison with market transactions, while the assessment of development costs will also require comparison to be made with build costs, fees, finance costs and other elements in similar projects.
Where there are no (or limited) transactions to use for the comparative method, the residual method provides another valuation approach. The limited analysis of comparable sales can give a useful check of the accuracy of a residual valuation.
Client requirements may ask for advice taking into account the client’s specific circumstances. For instance, in recommending how much to bid for the purchase of a site based on the construction costs that can be delivered by the client as a contractor. The residual method involves estimating the cost of a project and the new value created with an allowance for profit and contingency. The difference between value and cost represents the value of the unimproved property. However the estimation of costs and the timing of future payments can be complex.
The most complex part was to complete the highest and best use analysis of the property, considering the perspectives of a potential investor: physical possibility of transformation, legal limitation from urbanistic point of view and economic feasibility. So, the next step was to understand the limitations of the building in terms of interventions it can support and repartitioning for future economic purposes, because a historical building generally comes with significant such limitations for future reconversion and construction.
State purchases of land surrounding the gm
We know from accounts of state purchases of land - from both /either end of the Islamic history of mecca - that the land close to the gm has always commanded substantially higher high values than other parts of Mecca.
1) [Third] Abbasid caliph, Mohammed Al-Mahdi (775–785)?????
Al-Mahdi began out an extensive expansion of the Grand Mosque in Mecca in 161 A.H./A.D. 777 [[[ OR 783]]]; he died in 785, part way through the enlargement, and work/project was completed, by his son and successor as caliph, Musa.......... in..............
The size of the mosque was increased by 12,512 square meters.by adding approximately 15,000 square metres to the mosque. ..... by purchasing demolishing a substantial number of properties.
Owners of land and property within the area of the Mosque were compensated at the rate of approximately one hundred gold pieces (dinars) per square meter (25 dinars/ square cubit); whilst those with land and property at a distance from the Mosque, in the wadi (valley) area, were paid sixty gold pieces for per square metre (15 dinars/ square cubit) fn17.
These payouts were considered enormous [huge sums] at the time, and were deemed necessary to reflect, not only the market value of the land, but also the additional compensation due for the loss of the prized nearness to the Mosque. For some owners, the market price alone would alone would not have been sufficient to convince them to sell, in a climate when other land in the area was almost impossible to acquire, and the only realistic option of relocating would have been at the periphery of the settlement.
FN17. Al-Azraqi, Akhbar Makkah, 1398/1978, vol. II, p. 74.

Similarly, the expansion of the Grand Mosque that commenced in 2010, also necessitated the state paying record sums to landowners to make way for the project.
A general court was appointed to adjudicate on the compensation rate for each individual piece of the real estate - which generally consisted of land, buildings, or remains. Value estimations was conducted according to a set mechanism that took into account factors such as location, proximity to the Grand Mosque, and whether the land was mountainous or flat. In each case, the judge issued a ruling with a payout-percentage that ranged from between 25 to 75 percent.
In total, the Saudi government disbursed USD 35.5 billion to the owners of the expropriated properties. Fn1 The payouts/valuations ranged from between USD 120,000 (SR 450,000) and USD 160,000 (SR 600,000) per square metre. Fn2.
The highest rate of compensation was paid for properties such as an apartment building in the Ajyad province opposite Al-Safwah Tower, at USD 160,000 per square meter, followed by a neighbouring building with a value of USD 146,685 (SR 550,000) per square meter. The Al-Zawawi building in Al-Bab, and other structures located near to the Al-Masfalah province, reached USD 120,000 (SR 450,000) per square meter.Fn3.
Fn1: King Salman launches five projects at Grand Mosque in Mecca
https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/property/king-salman-launches-five-projects-at-grand-mosque-in-mecca-1.612283 Jul 21, 2017
Fn2. The Average exchange rate for the Saudi Riyal (SAR) to US Dollar (USD) in 2010 was 0.2667 USD. See www.exchangerates.org.uk.
Fn3: Compensation for demolished buildings around Haram https://www.arabnews.com/node/462407/amp 25 August 2013
One of the features of Mecca’s property market that continues to be exhibited today is the high degree of differentiation in values. To some extent it may be said that the Grand Mosque performs the primary function of the city, and the rest of the city supports it through the provision secondary visitor and pilgrim services. The preeminence of the Mosque in Mecca results in land values, as well as housing costs, declining with increasing distance from the Mosque. No other site has existed in Mecca, in the past 1500 years, that has altered this equation and provided a reason for land prices to ascend away from the Mosque. Al-mahd’s purchases demonstrate that the same phenomenon was evident in 171ah: the 40% differential in the cost of the land on the periphery of the mosque and in the Wadi area, highlights the sharp variations in the mean value of properties between streets and areas.
New Paragraph
2) Quite expectedly, these immigrants built their homes as close to the mosque as they could. When Saudi Arabia undertook the urban redevelopment of the city, many Fatanis amassed a fortune from the sale of their lands, which were acquired by the authorities to make way for infrastructure development; some became millionaires.
3) recent purchases
Selling the bp
The price of land around the gm has reached a level that places the bp, along with other prime plots around the gm, as the priciest land in the world. However, with the addition of the heritage premium to the market price, means that the bp constitutes, by far and away, the most expensive land in the world today.
Despite the lofty rates, investment cartels , retail consortiums , and hotel chains are continuing to spend vast sums to gain a foothold around the gm. The lure is the near doubling of pilgrims visiting the city each year, and their spending power.
The bp sits in a neighbourhood that is not only undergoing rapid development, but setting investment records. The bp is now in the vicinity of the two most expensive buildings in the world: the Grand Mosque, which is the largest mosque in the world and also the priciest structure, costing $100 billion (£75 billion) to construct; and the Abraj Al Bait Towers hotel, which cost
$15 billion to build and is ranked as number two in the world‘s costliest buildings fn1. Coming soon is the Abraj Kudai hotel at a build price of $3.5 billion; this is expected to become the largest hotel in the world, and the seventh most expensive building in the world. To add to this tally of records, the silk and gold-embroidered cloth which is wrapped around the nearby Kaaba -
the Kiswa - is the valued as the most expensive cloth in the world, costing $8,800 per square metre. It contains 120 kilograms of gold thread and 100 kilograms of silver thread. The cost of the Kiswa is approximately $5.8 million fn2. Such distinguished neighbours can only enhance the perceived-value of the bp.
[[The new Kiswa is 658-square-meters long and is made of 670 kilograms of pure silk. For embroidery,
120 kilograms of gold thread and 100 kilograms of silver thread were used.
The cost of the Kiswa is approximately SR22 million ($5.8 million).]]
[fn1: Telegraph 27 Jul 2016]]
[fn2: http://www.arabnews.com/node/1359431/saudi-arabia August 20, 2018
It is abundantly clear that the muslim world today does not want the bp to be sold or developed in any way. However, real estate conditions in Mecca demonstrate, that if the bp were ever to be sold, it would fetch a record-breaking selling price. On the basis of its area alone, it would be worth at least ???????? Investors are aware that there is no other ancient site in the world that is
capable of delivering the calibre of investment returns that are forecast for the bp. When rare items such as historic paintings, jewellery, antiques, and classic cars can fetch eight-figure US dollar prices; and exclusive apartments and houses in the worlds leading cities reach nine-figures, then it is not inconceivable that a dedicated Muslim, a shrewd investor, or a Pilgrim-related business would be willing to spend eight, or even nine, figure US Dollar sums to acquire such a unique site.
Traditional approaches to establishing the value of heritage have centred upon economic
measuring criteria. However, this paper has illustrated that the value of heritage must be
based on more than solely economic considerations
-Why is the land close to the gm so expensive
Or so lucrative, profitable,
The most expensive land in Saudi Arabia is found in the neighboring areas of Mecca’s Holy Mosque. The growing demand combined with limited supply of housing units caused a surge in real estate prices in recent years. The situation is similar with temporary accommodation: rising demand for rental units and the lack of adequate supply have led to substantial rent increases.
1) High Demand
Land in the vicinity of the gm, the Central Zone, carries the highest prices. This due to the extraordinary demand from meccans and visitors to dwell close to the gm. The key reasons for wanting to reside near the gm is to obtain the additional rewards of praying in the gm, and to minimise travelling time to and from the mosque for each prayer…/…ease the frequent travel to
the gm:summarised these as follows:
-- Praying in the gm carries 100,000 more reward than a prayer in any other mosque in mecca. Meccan residents who wanted to perform their five daily prayers in the gm wanted to live near it to make their five visits more convenient.
--The merit for a prayer is increased by going to the mosque on foot. Therefore, the distance between the worshippers house and the gm had to be sufficiently close to make walking practicle/walk to and pray there on a daily basis.
--Living near the gm conferred prestige. People who resided in the vicinity of the gm were considered more pious and blessed.
considered more pious and blessed.
--..Meccans who lived in outskirts of the city who visited the gm on a daily basis were forced to trek along narrow roads in poor conditions. Many decided to relocate their homes closer to the gm in order to avoid the time-consuming and difficult daily commute.
--The desire of large numbers of pilgrims to have their accommodation as close as possible to Al-Haram prompted many landlord’s to buy plots and properties near the gm as they would not only command higher rental rates, but also have high occupancy levels, and fewer void periods.
The competition for
2) Shortage of house building land
The primary reason for the limited supply of land in mecca was topographical constraints. The city is situated in a valley surrounded by steep mountains. This has meant that for most of its history, physical expansion of Mecca has been hindered and development has been confined mainly to the relatively flat areas of the city centre. The combination of the accommodation required for meccan resident s and ever-increasing numbers of pilgrims has meant that Mecca had faced housing congestion and shortages since the second century of Islam both the indigenous and temporary populations. both resident and pilgrim populations
At the time of the migration of the Prophet Mohammed (PBUH), Makkah consisted of a small nucleus of houses belonging to the elite of Makkah's tribes and encircling the Ka'aba. Most of these houses were one storey and enclosed by temporary structures of tents, dry stone shacks and covered shelters where the slaves, servants and other labourers lived and worked to serve their masters as well as the pilgrims. Located at a distance from the houses were some scattered tents of nomads and herds of camels, sheep and goats belonging to the merchant families ofMakkah. 1
1. Angawi, Sami, Makkan Architecture, Ph.D. Thesis, University of London, 1988, p. 151.
Closeness to the Holy Mosque has always been a primary factor in the growth and development of Makkah. From the first centur of Islam, the desire to live near Al-Haram led to the settlement becaming more compact around the Kabah. The inhabitants built their houses close together in tight clusters to make maximum use of the limited flat land
This area developed over the past centuries to serve the specific purpose of providing both
residential and allied service areas for people wanting to live near the Haram.
Small shops filled in where possible and smaller mosques were built, scattered throughout the
city.
Ibn Battutah, who visited Makkah in 725, described it as a “big city" in terms of its built up area
and absolute size of its population
1. Ibn Battutah., (1958) The Travels of Ibn Battuta, Translated with revision and notes by Gibb., H. A. R..,
Cambridge P-397.
The intensive land use around the gm was not without its issues: the area became experienced congestion and high population density. The economic viability of lots that were close to the Haram produced amorphous shaped plots, a symptom of maximum exploitation. Roads, public squares and other open spaces suffered in the search for building sites. The minimum allotment for the street network led to short, narrow roads and alleys. This caused difficulties for the movement of both local and pilgrim traffic.
In 1803 a European named Ali Bey visited Makkah and gave the following description:
"There is no open place or space in Mecca (Makkah) because the irregularity of the ground and the want of space would not-permit it". 2
TRAVELS OF ALI BEY IN AFRICA AND ASIA. Travelled to mecca 1806-1807
Travels Of Ali Bey - Vol.2 Publication date 1816.………p96
In 1877 Keane visited Makkah and gave the following description :
"The whole of this valley, about one mile and a half long by one third of a mile across, is packed and crammed with buildings of all shapes and sizes, placed in no kind of order, climbing far up the steep side of the surrounding hills ..... “ 5
5. Keane, J. F. (1881) My Journey to Medinah : Describing A Pilgrimage to Medinah, Tinsley Brothers,
London, p. 27. CHECK CORRECT PAGE NUMBERS FOR ALL 3 ABOVE QUOTES
REFERENCES
1. Ibn Battutah., (1958) The Travels of Ibn Battuta, Translated with revision and notes by Gibb., H. A. R.., Cambridge P-397.
2. Bey, Ali (1816) Travels of Ali Bey in Morocco,, Tripoli, Cyprus, Egypt, Arab-i'-a, and Turkey between_Syria the years 1803 and 707, Longman, London,, p. 96.
3. Burckhardt, J. L. (1968) , Travels in Arabia, Frank Cass and Co. Ltd., London, pp. 102-104 (Reprint of 1829 edition).
4. Burton, R. F., (1964) Personal Narrative of A Pilgrimage to Al-Madinah and Meccah., two volumes, vol.I., Dover Publications, Inc. New Yorký PP. 376-397 (Reprint of 1893 edition).
5. Keane, J. F. (1881) My Journey to Medinah : Describing A Pilgrimage to Medinah, Tinsley Brothers, London, p. 27.
6. Rutter., E.., (1928) 'The Holy Cities of Arabia., two volumes,, I vol. I. London PP-3b-44. 7. HurSronje, C. S.., (1931), Mekka in the latter Part of the 19th Century., Luzac and Co., London, pp. 81-106.
The Steps that help establish the value of a historic building:
- Inspection, involving a detailed survey and analysis;
- Undertaking a historic survey involving any statutory listing, researching the building’s history and identifying any reference works, local records etc;
- Undertaking a detailed condition survey;
- Understanding the architectural qualities and any special features, their local significance and contribution to the visual environment or townscape;
- Understanding who is likely to be interested in buying the building, whether private individuals, companies, developers, local authorities, social groups etc;
- Understanding prevailing market conditions;
- Considering how much it could cost to repair or adapt and maintain the building for whatever use is envisaged.
- Understanding constraints on development. for example, listed buildings involve a government-imposed control on owners that could make repairs and refurbishments far more costly than might at first be appreciated;
- Considering whether the building has heritage value – can it be said to be a national treasure in any way?
Assessing whether the building has any capacity to provide future income.
These considerations may help establish a historic building’s value, which in turn may help potential buyers (or sellers) make an informed decision.
EXTRAS
Generally, a discussion about assigning monetary value to a religious heritage site, or speculation about /over its commercial potential, tends to draw criticism [may appear/viewed] and be labelled a crass practice [to many], one that clashes with the sentiments of believers, displays ignorance of the permanence of sacredness, and one which fails to understand that these sites play roles for, and deliver benefits to, the communities that believe in them, which simply cannot be measured by money, and which cannot be replaced by any amount of money, and one which actively encourages developers to seek to purchase and destroy the site for higher profit generating alternatives.
outstrips the supply of residential houses.
The growing demand combined with limited supply of housing units caused a surge in
real estate prices over the past years.
Rising demand for rental units and the lack of adequate supply have led to massive rent
increases.
t was indicated earlier that since the early days of the foundation of the holy cities, their
ccmmercial and residential areas have evolved around Al-Haram and each has competed
with the other to gain a foothold as close to Al-Haram as possible.
have competed with each other to gain a foothold as close to Al-Haram as possible.
the limited supply of flat land adaptable for development
demand for many retail and other services immediately around Al-Haram, commercial
activities serving both population compete with residential demand around Al-Haram.
Administrative buildings were also intermixed on land used by residential and
commercial activities surrounding Al-Haram
The Birthplace plot is situated in the Central District of Mecca - next door to the city’s primary landmark, the Grand Mosque. The mosque was visited by 9 million pilgrims last year and who spent ??? The area close to the Mosque is considered prime land and has some of the highest land values anywhere in the world. For decades the fierce /intense competition between housing developers, hotel chains, and retailers for these plots has caused prices to rise rapidly.
State purchases of land surrounding the gm
We know from accounts of state purchases of land - from both /either end of the Islamic history of mecca - that the land close to the gm has always commanded substantially higher high values than other parts of Mecca.
1) [THIRD] ABBASID CALIPH, MOHAMMED AL-MAHDI (775–785)?????
AL-MAHDI BEGAN OUT AN EXTENSIVE EXPANSION OF THE GRAND MOSQUE IN MECCA IN 161 A.H./A.D. 777 [[[ OR 783]]]; HE DIED IN 785, PART WAY THROUGH THE ENLARGEMENT, AND WORK/PROJECT WAS COMPLETED, BY HIS SON AND SUCCESSOR AS CALIPH, MUSA.......... IN..............
THE SIZE OF THE MOSQUE WAS INCREASED BY 12,512 SQUARE METERS.BY ADDING APPROXIMATELY 15,000 SQUARE METRES TO THE MOSQUE. ..... BY PURCHASING DEMOLISHING A SUBSTANTIAL NUMBER OF PROPERTIES.
OWNERS OF LAND AND PROPERTY WITHIN THE AREA OF THE MOSQUE WERE COMPENSATED AT THE RATE OF APPROXIMATELY ONE HUNDRED GOLD PIECES (DINARS) PER SQUARE METER (25 DINARS/ SQUARE CUBIT); WHILST THOSE WITH LAND AND PROPERTY AT A DISTANCE FROM THE MOSQUE, IN THE WADI (VALLEY) AREA, WERE PAID SIXTY GOLD PIECES FOR PER SQUARE METRE (15 DINARS/ SQUARE CUBIT) FN17.
THESE PAYOUTS WERE CONSIDERED ENORMOUS [HUGE SUMS] AT THE TIME, AND WERE DEEMED NECESSARY TO REFLECT, NOT ONLY THE MARKET VALUE OF THE LAND, BUT ALSO THE ADDITIONAL COMPENSATION DUE FOR THE LOSS OF THE PRIZED NEARNESS TO THE MOSQUE. FOR SOME OWNERS, THE MARKET PRICE ALONE WOULD ALONE WOULD NOT HAVE BEEN SUFFICIENT TO CONVINCE THEM TO SELL, IN A CLIMATE WHEN OTHER LAND IN THE AREA WAS ALMOST IMPOSSIBLE TO ACQUIRE, AND THE ONLY REALISTIC OPTION OF RELOCATING WOULD HAVE BEEN AT THE PERIPHERY OF THE SETTLEMENT.
FN17. AL-AZRAQI, AKHBAR MAKKAH, 1398/1978, VOL. II, P. 74.
[He bought and demolished large numbers of properties and ]] paid owners at the rate of approximately one hundred gold pieces (dinars) for every square metre in the mosque area (25 dinars/ square cubit); and sixty gold pieces for every square metre in the wadi (vallley) area (15 dinars/ square cubit) fn17. These were considered huge sums at the time, and were deemed necessary to reflect, not only the market value of the land, but also the additional compensation due for the loss of the prized nearness to the gm. For some owners, the market price alone would alone would not have been sufficient to convince them to sell, in a climate when other land in the area was almost impossible to acquire, and the only realistic option of relocating would have been at the periphery of the settlement.
FN17. Al-Azraqi, Akhbar Makkah, 1398/1978, vol. II, p. 74.
A more extensive renovation took place under the Abbasid caliph al-MahdÄ« (775–785),
The largest expansion project of this era was ordered sometime around the year 783 by third Abbasid caliph, Mohammed Al-Mahdi, who expanded the Grand Mosque after acquiring neighboring houses and demolishing them.
He died in 785, before the project was completed, so his son and successor as caliph, Musa, took over supervision of the project, which increased the size of the mosque by 12,512 square meters.
One of the features exhibited by Mecca’s property market today is the high degree of
differentiation in values. However, Al-mahd’s purchases demonstrate that the same phenomenon
was evident in ??ah. The 40% in the wadi, the periphery of the old …, highlights the sharp
differences in the mean value of properties between streets and areas,
it was found that the Holy Mosque represents the central function around which land
values as well as housing costs decline with increasing distance from the centre.
2) Quite expectedly, these immigrants built their homes as close to the mosque as they could. When Saudi Arabia undertook the urban redevelopment of the city, many Fatanis amassed a fortune from the sale of their lands, which were acquired by the authorities to make way for infrastructure development; some became millionaires.
one hundred gold pieces (dinars) for every square metre in the mosque area (25 dinars/ square cubit); and sixty gold pieces for every square metre in the wadi (vallley) area (15 dinars/ square cubit)
However, Al-mahd’s purchases demonstrate that the same phenomenon
was evident in ??ah. The 40% in the wadi, the periphery of the old …, highlights the sharp
differences in the mean value of properties between streets and areas,
it was found that the Holy Mosque represents the central function around which land
values as well as housing costs decline with increasing distance from the centre.
The owners of the expropriated properties were given compensation generally ranging between 450,000 and 550,000 Saudi riyals per square metre.
A general court was appointed to set the compensation rate for each individual piece of the real estate, whether land, buildings, or remains. Value estimation was conducted according to a set mechanism that took into account factors such as location, proximity to the Grand Mosque, and whether the land is mountainous of flat.The judge issued a ruling with a percentage that ranges between 25 to 75 percent.
.
compensation has been disbursed
Average exchange rate in 2010: 0.2667 USD
The UAE’s English-language daily The National said in a report that the estimated construction cost was USD 26.6 billion (around Rs 1.8 lakh crore) and that the government paid another USD 35.5 billion (around Rs 2.41 lakh crore) to landowners as compensation for the projects.
https://www.lifestyleasia.com/ind/living/real-estate/most-expensive-buildings-around-the-world/
The Saudi government is said to have paid a further $35.5bn in compensation to landowners to make way for the projects.
https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/property/king-salman-launches-five-projects-at-grand-mosque-in-mecca-1.612283
Jul 21, 2017
Compensation for demolished buildings around Haram delayed
25 August 2013
https://www.arabnews.com/node/462407/amp
An official working on the project to develop the surrounding areas of the Grand Mosque at Makkah has said SR30 billion of the SR90 billion owed in compensation to former property owners has not been paid out.
“Since 2009, SR60 billion has been paid out in four stages.
“The matter is with the general court. It decides whether to pay compensation for real estate, whether land, buildings or remains. Bakir Pasha Awqaf is a legitimate issue and the judge issues a ruling with a percentage that ranges between 25 to 75 percent,” he added.
“The highest rate of compensation was paid for an apartment building in the Ajyad province opposite Al-Safwah Tower, at SR 600,000 per square meter, followed by a neighbouring building with a value of 550,000 per square meter. The remainder of compensation, which began in the Al-Zawawi building in Al-Bab through to the Al-Masfalah province, reached SR 450,000 per square meter,” he said.
Qattan said the lowest rate of compensation for removed property was given for a house at the top of a mountain in the Al-Hajour province. Value estimation is conducted according to a certain mechanism and takes into account many factors such as location, proximity to the Grand Mosque and whether the land is mountainous of flat.
Compensation fixed for Haram Mosque's southern courtyard expansion
Demolition work to begin after compensation has been disbursed
March 22, 2010
As part of expansion work on the Haram Mosque in Makkah, residential and commercial buildings and real estates on a total area of 1,500 sq. metres will be expropriated.
This area, consisting of eight various sites, will be added to the southern courtyard of the holiest mosque in Islam, close to its main entrance of King Abdul Aziz Gate.
Demolition work will begin after compensation has been disbursed, said the chairman of the Committee of Projects for the Expansion of Haram Courtyards.
Committee chairman Abbas Qattan said that owners of the expropriated real estates will be given compensation ranging between 450,000 and 550,000 Saudi riyals per square metre.